PnL all-time+$176vol $3,693
PnL 30d−$1.83gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.12win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate66.7%adj 53.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$299cash n/a
Positions6 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.9%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$153below peak −$77Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale32
Adjusted win rateraw 66.7% · shrunk toward 50%34
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity80
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Yes | 154 | 13¢ | 100¢ | $154 | +$134 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 80 | 50¢ | 100¢ | $80 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Yes | 64 | 31.2¢ | 100¢ | $64 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 63 | 24¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.09 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 59 | 17¢ | 0.7¢ | $0.41 | −$9.59 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 82 | 32¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | $0 |
Recent trades
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