PnL all-time−$10.2kvol $479k
PnL 30d−$1,101gains $210 · losses $2,286
PnL 7d−$792win rate 7d 37.5%
Win rate38.8%adj 39.7% · 30d 31.8%
Open value$103cash n/a
Positions3 / 250open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 19h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$9,566below peak −$9,805Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 38.8% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? · Yesclosed+$1,064Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? · Yesclosed+$819Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m? · Yesclosed+$781Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$631Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026? · Yesclosed+$623
Worst markets
LoL: Oh My God vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) · ThunderTalk Gamingclosed−$4,732LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner · ThunderTalk Gamingclosed−$1,137Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? · Yesclosed−$1,083Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? · Yesclosed−$879Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yesclosed−$648
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 45¢ | 50.5¢ | $51 | +$5.50 | −$0.30 | |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 55.9¢ | 38¢ | $38 | −$18 | −$137 | |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1,215 | 4.1¢ | 1.2¢ | $14 | −$36 | $0 |
Recent trades
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