PnL all-time+$4,234vol $284k
PnL 30d+$116gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$85win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate58.8%adj 55.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$22.2kcash n/a
Positions2 / 36open / all-time
Max drawdown−61.4%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$5,224below peak −$5,058Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 58.8% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity39
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Noclosed+$4,354Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · Noclosed+$3,116Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw? · Noclosed+$1,351Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Noopen+$1,301Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16? · Yesclosed+$1,180
Worst markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$4,380Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16? · Yesclosed−$2,713US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,080Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-16? · Yesclosed−$680Starmer out by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$525
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 22.7k | 91.1¢ | 96.9¢ | $22.0k | +$1,301 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 24¢ | 6.5¢ | $130 | −$350 | $0 |
Recent trades
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