sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,350

kekkone

0x39d…4fe8@kekkospoly
SharpPnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$145kvol $6.90M
PnL 30d+$4,855gains $11.5k · losses $7,676
PnL 7d+$1,236win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate71.9%adj 71.1% · 30d 56.7%
Open value$46.2kcash n/a
Positions17 / 1,735open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.2%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$150kbelow peak −$1,670Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

81/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 71.9% · shrunk toward 50%78
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 17

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No24.0k70.6¢83.5¢$20.0k+$3,096+$1,375
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes10.0k70.8¢84.5¢$8,450+$1,372+$580
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No9,30067.4¢63.5¢$5,905−$360+$15
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes3,88383.5¢79.5¢$3,087−$156−$70
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No2,00099.4¢99.8¢$1,995+$7.00$0
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No2,44477.2¢72.3¢$1,766−$122+$9.57
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,70061.9¢62.5¢$1,063+$9.50$0
Weed rescheduled by December 31?No86076.1¢95.5¢$821+$166+$569
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No72287.2¢91.5¢$661+$31+$15
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No1,00061.9¢62.5¢$625+$6.00$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes60063.7¢62.5¢$375−$7.00$0
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes1,65023.4¢22.5¢$371−$15$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No40068¢71¢$284+$12+$34
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No29784.4¢86.1¢$256+$5.03$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No20077¢95.5¢$191+$37+$3,792
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes50847.3¢37.5¢$191−$50−$81
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,18616.5¢8.1¢$96−$100−$335

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?85¢5$4.2572%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?80.1¢200$16072%81Sharp
SELL NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?80¢400$32072%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?83.5¢200$16772%81Sharp
BUY NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?83.9¢190$16072%81Sharp
SELL NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?75¢528$39672%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?23¢400$9272%81Sharp
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?27¢200$5472%81Sharp
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?65¢1,000$65072%81Sharp
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?62¢200$12472%81Sharp
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?61¢500$30572%81Sharp
SELL NoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?18.1¢3,197$57972%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?38¢4,000$1,52072%81Sharp
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?64¢600$38472%81Sharp
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?42¢680$28672%81Sharp
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?58¢10.2k$5,89672%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?47¢1,031$48472%81Sharp
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?48¢268$12972%81Sharp
BUY NoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?11¢6,215$68472%81Sharp
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?54¢173$9372%81Sharp