PnL all-time+$7,091vol $29.1M
PnL 30d−$2,605gains $1,033 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$197win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate92.9%adj 67.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$13.8kcash n/a
Positions9 / 25open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 9d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$11.5kbelow peak −$49.8kOct 12
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 92.9% · shrunk toward 50%69
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d68
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$6,468Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesclosed+$1,043Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesclosed+$1,033Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? · Yesclosed+$603Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesclosed+$407
Worst markets
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$10.6kWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$7,753Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$2,496Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yesopen−$1,371Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yesopen−$461
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 927k | 1.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $4,172 | −$5,711 | −$2,042 | |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 621k | 1¢ | 0.5¢ | $2,794 | −$3,350 | +$854 | |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 415k | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $1,869 | −$301 | +$116 | |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.03M | 0.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $1,538 | −$7,049 | −$3,548 | |
| Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 287k | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $1,292 | −$285 | +$406 | |
| Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 294k | 0.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $1,030 | −$1,619 | +$247 | |
| Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 199k | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $697 | −$778 | +$317 | |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 113k | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | $397 | −$279 | +$105 | |
| Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | Yes | 6 | 2¢ | 2.6¢ | $0.15 | +$0.03 | $0 |
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