PnL all-time−$7,294vol $1.19M
PnL 30d+$270gains $441 · losses $21
PnL 7d+$295win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate57.6%adj 57.2% · 30d 88.9%
Open value$1,288cash n/a
Positions45 / 403open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 10h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 57.6% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in August 2025? · Yesclosed+$14.4kWill global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025? · Yesclosed+$6,799Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yesclosed+$4,922Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in February 2025? · Yesclosed+$3,827Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Yesclosed+$3,224
Worst markets
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? · Noclosed−$13.5kWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.10ºC in August 2025? · Yesclosed−$7,337Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Noopen−$6,223Will global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in March 2025? · Yesclosed−$4,228Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in August 2025? · Yesclosed−$3,857
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 31¢ | 36.5¢ | $548 | +$83 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 500 | 81¢ | 82¢ | $410 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 20¢ | 23.5¢ | $235 | +$35 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 17¢ | 7.5¢ | $75 | −$95 | $0 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 136 | 28¢ | 8.5¢ | $12 | −$27 | $0 | |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 210 | 9¢ | 4.4¢ | $9.13 | −$9.77 | $0 |
Recent trades
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