sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,111

lin20261

0x3a2…7407
<7d old<14d old<30d oldWeatherPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,927vol $24.2k
PnL 30d+$35.5kgains $5,690 · losses $1,360
PnL 7d+$35.5kwin rate 7d 39.3%
Win rate39.3%adj 39.9% · 30d 39.3%
Open value$16cash n/a
Positions135 / 467open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age2dlast trade 49m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$36.6kbelow peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 39.3% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable89
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Noclosed+$796Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Noclosed+$686Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Noclosed+$462Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Noclosed+$292Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Noclosed+$286

Worst markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$156Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$155Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yesclosed−$49Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$47Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$46

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?Yes464¢100¢$3.60+$1.29−$2.55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12?No469¢52.5¢$2.22−$0.70+$4.14
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?No422¢19¢$0.81−$0.13$0
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes1,2343.3¢0.1¢$0.62−$41$0
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1,2172.7¢0.1¢$0.61−$32$0
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1,2172.7¢0.1¢$0.61−$32$0
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1,2172.7¢0.1¢$0.61−$32$0
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1,2172.7¢0.1¢$0.61−$32$0
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1,2172.7¢0.1¢$0.61−$32$0
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1,2172.7¢0.1¢$0.61−$32$0
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1,2172.7¢0.1¢$0.61−$32$0
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1,0252.7¢0.1¢$0.51−$27−$5.00
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes653.4¢0.4¢$0.23−$2.02$0
Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes4292.8¢0.1¢$0.21−$12$0
Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes4292.8¢0.1¢$0.21−$12$0
Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes4292.8¢0.1¢$0.21−$12$0
Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes4292.8¢0.1¢$0.21−$12$0
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes4292.8¢0.1¢$0.21−$12$0
Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes4292.8¢0.1¢$0.21−$12$0
Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2362.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$5.79$0
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2362.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$5.79$0
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2362.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$5.79$0
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2362.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$5.79$0
Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2362.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$5.79$0
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2362.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$5.79$0
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2362.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$5.79$0
Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2362.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$5.79$0
Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2362.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$5.79$0
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2362.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$5.79$0
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2362.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$5.79$0
Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2362.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$5.79$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 13?Yes219.1¢0.5¢$0.10−$1.80$0
Will White House post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes319.1¢0.3¢$0.08−$2.71$0
Will White House post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes319.1¢0.3¢$0.08−$2.71$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 13?Yes239.1¢0.3¢$0.07−$2.05$0
Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes1257.7¢0.1¢$0.06−$9.58$0
Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes1002.9¢0.1¢$0.05−$2.90$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on October 12?Yes209.1¢0.2¢$0.04−$1.78$0
Will a team from Pacific win VALORANT Champions 2026?Yes2020¢0.2¢$0.04−$3.86−$4.20
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes7110¢0.1¢$0.04−$7.11$0
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes7110¢0.1¢$0.04−$7.11$0
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes7110¢0.1¢$0.04−$7.11$0
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes653.4¢0.1¢$0.03−$2.22$0
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes653.4¢0.1¢$0.03−$2.22$0
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes653.4¢0.1¢$0.03−$2.22$0
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes653.4¢0.1¢$0.03−$2.22$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 12?Yes609.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$5.41$0
Will Wuthering Heights get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes604.5¢0.1¢$0.03−$2.68$0
Will Disclosure Day get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes604.5¢0.1¢$0.03−$2.68$0
Will The Bride! get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes604.5¢0.1¢$0.03−$2.68$0
Will The Social Reckoning get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes604.5¢0.1¢$0.03−$2.68$0
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?Yes5220¢0.1¢$0.03−$10$0
Will Marco Zunino win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election?Yes513.6¢0.1¢$0.03−$1.80$0
Will Lance Bright win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election?Yes513.6¢0.1¢$0.03−$1.80$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 83°F or below on October 13?Yes229.1¢0.1¢$0.02−$1.95$0
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 1m?Yes3616.7¢0.1¢$0.02−$5.91$0
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 1m and 2m?Yes3616.7¢0.1¢$0.02−$5.91$0
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 5m?Yes3616.7¢0.1¢$0.02−$5.91$0
Will White House post 40-59 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes319.1¢0.1¢$0.02−$2.77$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C or below on October 12?Yes309.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.71−$2.68
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on October 12?Yes259.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.29$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 38°C or higher on October 13?Yes239.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.11$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on October 13?Yes239.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.11$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C or below on October 13?Yes239.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.11$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on October 13?Yes239.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.11$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 13?Yes229.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.97$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 102°F or higher on October 13?Yes229.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.97$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 13?Yes229.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.97$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 12?Yes219.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.91$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12?Yes219.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.91$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on October 12?Yes219.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.91$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 12?Yes219.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.91$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 13?Yes219.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.90$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on October 13?Yes219.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.90$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 13?Yes219.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.90$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 13?Yes219.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.90$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 13?Yes219.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.88$0
Will a team from another region win VALORANT Champions 2026?Yes2120¢0.1¢$0.01−$4.18−$4.18
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be at least 200m by October 31?Yes2014.3¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.85$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 180m and 190m by October 31?Yes2014.3¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.85$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 190m and 200m by October 31?Yes2014.3¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.85$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or higher on October 13?Yes209.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.82$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 13?Yes209.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.82$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 12?Yes209.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.81$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on October 12?Yes209.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.81$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 12?Yes209.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.81$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 12?Yes209.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.81$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on October 12?Yes209.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.81$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 12?Yes199.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.73$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 12?Yes199.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.71$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on October 12?Yes199.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.71$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on October 12?Yes199.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.71$0
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes33.4¢0.3¢$0.01−$0.09−$2.02
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 98°F or higher on October 12?Yes69.1¢0.1¢$0−$0.54$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?Yes442¢0.1¢$0−$1.56$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 12?Yes39.1¢0.1¢$0−$0.30−$1.98
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C or higher on October 11?Yes369.1¢0¢$0−$3.23$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 11?Yes369.1¢0¢$0−$3.23$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C or below on October 11?Yes369.1¢0¢$0−$3.23$0
Will White House post 0-19 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes319.1¢0¢$0−$2.79$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?20¢449$9039%67
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 13?0.1¢23$0.0239%67
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat?97.6¢459$44839%67
SELL YesWill October 2026 be the 4th or lower on record?0.1¢73$0.0739%67
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?83¢458$38139%67
SELL YesWill Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?2.3¢52$1.1939%67
SELL YesWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?1.5¢52$0.7839%67
BUY NoWill Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?97.9¢52$5139%67
BUY NoWill Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?98¢52$5139%67
BUY NoWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?93.2¢52$4839%67
BUY NoWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?89.5¢52$4639%67
BUY NoWill Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?97.3¢52$5039%67
BUY NoWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?70.2¢52$3639%67
BUY NoWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?77¢52$4039%67
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 12?0.1¢6$0.0139%67
BUY NoWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?21¢159$3339%67
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?1.6¢215$3.4339%67
SELL YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?0.8¢215$1.7239%67
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?98.2¢215$21139%67
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?36¢215$7739%67