PnL all-time+$475vol $168k
PnL 30d−$331gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.45win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.3%adj 52.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$857cash n/a
Positions8 / 178open / all-time
Max drawdown−83.7%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$524below peak −$1,302Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale38
Adjusted win rateraw 53.3% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity16
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20? · Noclosed+$525Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5 · Overclosed+$518Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Noopen+$250Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28? · Yesclosed+$241Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? · Yesclosed+$225
Worst markets
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-25? · Noclosed−$428FC Annecy vs. Clermont Foot 63: O/U 3.5 · Overclosed−$391Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? · Yesclosed−$369Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m? · Yesclosed−$345Will Movistar KOI qualify to MSI 2026? · Noclosed−$341
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 343 | 27¢ | 100¢ | $343 | +$250 | $0 | |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | No | 321 | 82.2¢ | 100¢ | $321 | +$57 | +$60 | |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 178 | 75.1¢ | 94.4¢ | $168 | +$34 | +$5.15 | |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | No | 27 | 35¢ | 88.5¢ | $24 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 1 | 40¢ | 94¢ | $0.94 | +$0.54 | +$134 | |
| Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1 | 79¢ | 5.9¢ | $0.06 | −$0.73 | $0 | |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1 | 21¢ | 1.7¢ | $0.02 | −$0.19 | +$79 | |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? | Yes | 1 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.25 | −$2.99 |
Recent trades
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