sharpside
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Traders/Rank #716

0xf1434f7d6de30bfbbdfeadd075a1f40f

0x3b4…264e
SharpPnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$281kvol $4.26M
PnL 30d+$85gains $216 · losses $357
PnL 7d+$278win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate82.1%adj 80.9% · 30d 60.0%
Open value$1,408cash n/a
Positions25 / 525open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.9%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$283kbelow peak −$45Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

90/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale78
Adjusted win rateraw 82.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 25

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No1,30234¢93.5¢$1,218+$775$0
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?Yes23453.5¢80¢$187+$62$0
Ramp IPO before 2027?Yes13415¢2.4¢$3.15−$17$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Yes453.7¢0.3¢$0.11−$1.52$0
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes8,1920.3¢0¢$0−$25−$0.98
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes6,7252.9¢0¢$0−$195+$291
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No5,1860.6¢0¢$0−$32+$44
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes2,6831.7¢0¢$0−$47$0
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes2,3005.9¢0¢$0−$136+$400
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes2,2080.2¢0¢$0−$4.42+$526
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?No2,1880.8¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No2,1398.2¢0¢$0−$175+$133
Will Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes1,8080.9¢0¢$0−$16$0
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes1,1050.4¢0¢$0−$4.42−$38
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes91712.2¢0¢$0−$112+$103
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?Yes91310.2¢0¢$0−$93$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Yes29814.3¢0¢$0−$43$0
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Yes29211¢0¢$0−$32−$1.14
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?Yes27610.1¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes27088.5¢0¢$0−$239−$2,804
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?No2382.5¢0¢$0−$5.84$0
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?Yes2095.7¢0¢$0−$12+$1.01
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes1769¢0¢$0−$16+$15
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?Yes2026¢0¢$0−$5.20$0
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes269.5¢0¢$0−$1.32−$149

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?53.5¢234$12582%90Sharp
SELL YesWill Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?90.1¢566$51082%90Sharp
BUY YesWill Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?57.9¢566$32882%90Sharp
BUY YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?20¢8,868$1,77482%90Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in September?71¢130$9282%90Sharp
SELL NoUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?37¢776$28782%90Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?62.2¢671$41782%90Sharp
BUY YesWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 7?87.7¢30$2682%90Sharp
BUY NoUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?97¢59.6k$57.9k82%90WhaleSharp
SELL YesTariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?17.1¢664$11482%90Sharp
SELL YesTariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?20¢150$3082%90Sharp
SELL YesTariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?24¢20$4.8382%90Sharp
SELL YesTariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?30.2¢780$23682%90Sharp
BUY YesTariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?64.9¢545$35482%90Sharp
BUY YesTariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?50.6¢1,071$54282%90Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by August 31, 2026?86¢156$13482%90Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by August 31, 2026?37.7¢43$1682%90Sharp
BUY YesWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 17?50¢40$2082%90Sharp
SELL YesWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?38.3¢4,059$1,55582%90Sharp
BUY YesWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?40¢4,108$1,64382%90Sharp