PnL all-time−$100kvol $323k
PnL 30d+$3,420gains $756 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$3,420win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate55.6%adj 51.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$7,402cash n/a
Positions3 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.8%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$100kbelow peak −$25.9kOct 13
SharpScore inputs
13/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 55.6% · shrunk toward 50%29
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d85
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Noclosed+$4,265Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Noclosed+$2,318Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yesclosed+$756Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Noclosed+$218Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yesopen+$158
Worst markets
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$87.5kS&P 500 all time high by December 31? · Noopen−$19.8kWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Noclosed−$308Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? · Noclosed−$112Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? · Yesclosed−$70
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10.5k | 69¢ | 70.5¢ | $7,402 | +$158 | $0 |
Recent trades
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