PnL all-time−$147vol $49.2k
PnL 30d−$7.74gains $0.56 · losses $15
PnL 7d−$1.26win rate 7d 20.0%
Win rate37.5%adj 38.0% · 30d 11.8%
Open value$185cash n/a
Positions3 / 581open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.2%of equity peak
Account age2.4ylast trade 14h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$132below peak −$132Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 37.5% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? · Noclosed+$1.62Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in July? · Noclosed+$1.34Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May? · Noclosed+$0.79Will Solana dip to $80 in July? · Noclosed+$0.54Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Noclosed+$0.49
Worst markets
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $200 in October? | No | 171 | 99.5¢ | 99.4¢ | $170 | −$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 15 | 98.5¢ | 97.7¢ | $15 | −$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? | No | 1 | 98.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.10 | $0 |
Recent trades
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