sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,252

fbet

0x3c4…7893
PoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$319vol $62.7k
PnL 30d+$739gains $497 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$85win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 63.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$31.7kcash n/a
Positions22 / 29open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 23h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$196below peak −$1,297Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%58
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No7,30593.9¢95.3¢$6,958+$95$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No7,00692.5¢96.4¢$6,750+$268$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No4,33094.1¢96.1¢$4,159+$85$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3,07186¢86¢$2,640−$0.96+$221
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No3,44973¢73.5¢$2,535+$17$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes3,00064¢62.5¢$1,875−$45$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No2,00069¢69.5¢$1,390+$10.00$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No2,00063¢63.5¢$1,270+$10$0
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No95072¢72.5¢$689+$4.75$0
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No59986¢87.6¢$525+$9.59$0
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No48293.6¢95¢$458+$6.95$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No47295¢96.6¢$456+$7.56$0
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No40095¢96.1¢$384+$4.20$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No40095¢94.5¢$378−$2.00$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No40091¢93.5¢$374+$10$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No35098.8¢99.1¢$347+$0.88$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?No30085¢91.5¢$275+$20$0
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No85934.8¢27¢$232−$67$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?92¢168$155100%19
BUY NoWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?73¢1,449$1,057100%19
BUY YesUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?60¢510$306100%19
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?96.9¢4,940$4,787100%19
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?96.4¢1,779$1,714100%19
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?96.9¢3,400$3,295100%19
BUY NoKadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?93¢213$198100%19
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?96.4¢205$198100%19
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?98.8¢350$346100%19
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?63¢250$158100%19
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?64.4¢500$322100%19
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?31.8¢15$4.77100%19
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?95¢472$449100%19
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?91¢400$364100%19
BUY NoKadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?94¢269$253100%19
BUY NoWill Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?95¢400$380100%19
BUY NoWill Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?85¢300$255100%19
BUY NoZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?95¢400$380100%19
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?96.8¢617$598100%19
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?96.1¢13$12100%19