sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

subprimemaster

0x3c5…37b3
PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,787vol $39.5k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate21.4%adj 38.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$196cash n/a
Positions82 / 96open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 4mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,679below peak −$1,679Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

8/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 21.4% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama? · Noopen+$605Will the Denver Nuggets win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26? · Yesopen+$36Will the Houston Rockets win more than 52.5 regular season games in 2025–26? · Yesclosed+$23Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? · Noclosed+$22Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa? · Yesopen+$19

Worst markets

Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky? · Noopen−$463Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana? · Noopen−$237Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election? · Noopen−$141Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa? · Yesopen−$129Will Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3? · Yesopen−$110

Open positions · 82

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?No13523.1¢100¢$135+$103+$501
Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?Yes3239.7¢100¢$32+$19$0
Will the Denver Nuggets win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes3030.1¢100¢$30+$21+$15
Will Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?Yes3,3933¢0¢$0−$102−$7.79
Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?No1,94523.1¢0¢$0−$450−$13
Will the Boston Bruins make the NHL Playoffs?No1,0988.2¢0¢$0−$90$0
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?Yes1,0956¢0¢$0−$66$0
Will the Edmonton Oilers make the NHL Playoffs?No9975.9¢0¢$0−$58$0
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?Yes9314.4¢0¢$0−$41−$1.93
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No82328¢0¢$0−$231−$6.42
Will the Ottawa Senators make the NHL Playoffs?No74514.1¢0¢$0−$105$0
Will the Vegas Golden Knights make the NHL Playoffs?No6806.3¢0¢$0−$43$0
Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes6687.2¢0¢$0−$48−$1.54
Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?Yes58817.5¢0¢$0−$103−$27
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?No50328¢0¢$0−$141$0
Will the Winnipeg Jets make the NHL Playoffs?Yes43313.7¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes40220.9¢0¢$0−$84−$2.66
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?No3777.2¢0¢$0−$27−$1.00
Will Ralph Alvarado be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?No2385.1¢0¢$0−$12−$0.46
Will Gold (GC) settle over $8,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes1985.2¢0¢$0−$10−$0.39
Will Trabzonspor win the Süper Lig?Yes19013.4¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?No18631.9¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will the Atlanta Hawks win more than 47.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes16131¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?Yes14812.8¢0¢$0−$19−$0.66
Will Jeremiyah Love go top 10 in the 2026 Pro Football draft? No12314¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Yes1236.2¢0¢$0−$7.63−$0.29
Will the Los Angeles Kings make the NHL Playoffs?No11118.3¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Chris Mathys advance from the CA-22 Primary?Yes906.1¢0¢$0−$5.50−$0.21
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes894¢0¢$0−$3.57−$0.05
Will Gavin Solomon be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?Yes837.4¢0¢$0−$6.15−$0.23
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No809.6¢0¢$0−$7.68−$0.35
Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?Yes794.4¢0¢$0−$3.48−$0.17
Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?Yes787.2¢0¢$0−$5.62−$0.21
Will Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?No753.3¢0¢$0−$2.51−$0.10
Will Adam Perez Arquette be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?Yes715.7¢0¢$0−$4.01−$0.15
Will Shelley Moore Capito be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?No684¢0¢$0−$2.72$0
Will Everett Jackson be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?No6519.2¢0¢$0−$12−$0.40
Will Amy Acton win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?No603¢0¢$0−$1.80$0
Will Michael BlackWolf be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?Yes5910.7¢0¢$0−$6.35−$0.03
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Yes585.4¢0¢$0−$3.17−$0.09
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?Yes5711.4¢0¢$0−$6.53$0
Will the Anaheim Ducks make the NHL Playoffs?No5614.9¢0¢$0−$8.30$0
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?Yes553¢0¢$0−$1.65$0
Will Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho?No533.8¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.08
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?Yes523¢0¢$0−$1.56$0
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes513¢0¢$0−$1.53$0
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?Yes493¢0¢$0−$1.47$0
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.4m & 14.6m square kilometers?Yes492.9¢0¢$0−$1.45$0
Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?Yes464.4¢0¢$0−$2.03−$0.08
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?Yes4411.8¢0¢$0−$5.22$0
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes439¢0¢$0−$3.83−$0.17
Will Constance N. Johnson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?Yes4112.9¢0¢$0−$5.32$0
Will Chanelle Torrez win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?Yes4115.5¢0¢$0−$6.41$0
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?Yes404.2¢0¢$0−$1.67−$0.06
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes345.4¢0¢$0−$1.83$0
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?No3333.4¢0¢$0−$11−$0.29
Will the San Jose Sharks make the NHL Playoffs?Yes339.7¢0¢$0−$3.17$0
Will the Utah Jazz have the worst record in the NBA?Yes281¢0¢$0−$0.28$0
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?Yes2639.5¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes267.7¢0¢$0−$2.01−$0.07
Will Mika Biereth be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?Yes261¢0¢$0−$0.26$0
Will Bologna finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Yes261¢0¢$0−$0.26$0
Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?Yes2110.1¢0¢$0−$2.15$0
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?Yes219¢0¢$0−$1.90$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?No216.2¢0¢$0−$1.31−$0.05
Will Jack Ellison be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?Yes195.9¢0¢$0−$1.13−$0.04
Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes173.2¢0¢$0−$0.54−$0.01
Will Zoltan Istvan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes175.9¢0¢$0−$0.98−$0.04
Will Jill Kirkham win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?Yes1715.7¢0¢$0−$2.61$0
Will Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?Yes1421.6¢0¢$0−$3.01$0
Will James Osyf be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?Yes127.3¢0¢$0−$0.91−$0.03
Will Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?Yes127¢0¢$0−$0.84$0
Will Sam McCown be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?Yes1127.5¢0¢$0−$2.92$0
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?Yes107.1¢0¢$0−$0.73−$0.03
Will Kyle Freeman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?Yes103.8¢0¢$0−$0.39−$0.01
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes104¢0¢$0−$0.39−$0.01
Will David Jones win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?Yes915.2¢0¢$0−$1.31$0
Will Taylor Darling be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?Yes85.8¢0¢$0−$0.46−$0.02
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?Yes816.1¢0¢$0−$1.27$0
Will Jay Byars be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?Yes721¢0¢$0−$1.46$0
Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?Yes64.1¢0¢$0−$0.24−$0.01
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes521.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?1.1¢291$3.1121%8
SELL YesWill Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?2.1¢291$6.1421%8
SELL YesWill Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?4.2¢15$0.6521%8
SELL YesWill Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?4.2¢15$0.6521%8
SELL YesWill s1mple retire by June 30?9.8¢436$4321%8
SELL YesWill s1mple retire by June 30?10¢360$3621%8
BUY YesWill s1mple retire by June 30?9.9¢123$1221%8
SELL YesWill Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?1¢30$0.3021%8
SELL YesWill Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?1¢50$0.5021%8
BUY YesWill Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?7.4¢101$7.4921%8
SELL YesWill Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?5.4¢161$8.6621%8
SELL YesWill Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?8¢161$1321%8
SELL YesWill Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?5.1¢63$3.1921%8
SELL YesWill Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?6¢13$0.7521%8
SELL YesWill Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?5¢13$0.6321%8
SELL YesWill Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?5.1¢63$3.1921%8
SELL YesWill Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?1.2¢248$2.9221%8
SELL YesAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?14.2¢16$2.2821%8
SELL YesAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?14.1¢16$2.2721%8
SELL YesWill Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?5.9¢303$1821%8