PnL all-time−$279vol $84.1k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate62.7%adj 59.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$747cash n/a
Positions7 / 80open / all-time
Max drawdown−83.7%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$279below peak −$731Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 62.7% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity16
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026? · Yesclosed+$490Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$161Ledger IPO before 2027? · Yesclosed+$138Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre? · Yesclosed+$136Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? · Yesclosed+$119
Worst markets
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$497Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%? · Noopen−$398Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo? · Noclosed−$374Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels · Ole Miss Rebelsopen−$314Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"? · Yesopen−$152
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026? | No | 747 | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | $747 | +$75 | $0 | |
| Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | Yes | 1,013 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$314 | +$162 | |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%? | No | 555 | 71.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$398 | $0 | |
| Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels | Ole Miss Rebels | 393 | 79.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$314 | $0 | |
| XRP Up or Down - February 21, 9PM ET | Up | 176 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$90 | $0 | |
| Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March? | No | 3 | 80¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.40 | −$32 | |
| Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars? | Yes | 3 | 42¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.26 | −$7.30 |
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