PnL all-time+$20vol $1,186
PnL 30d−$0.54gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.54win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 58.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$430cash n/a
Positions10 / 14open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.4%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 5d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$21below peak −$53Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale18
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%46
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable38
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d83
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 110 | 91¢ | 93.5¢ | $103 | +$2.75 | $0 | |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 109 | 92¢ | 91.5¢ | $99 | −$0.54 | $0 | |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 108 | 93¢ | 92¢ | $99 | −$1.08 | $0 | |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | No | 115 | 87¢ | 86¢ | $99 | −$1.15 | $0 | |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | 75.8¢ | 76¢ | $30 | +$0.06 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | 87¢ | 115 | $100 | 100% | 29 | |||
| BUY No | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | 93¢ | 108 | $100 | 100% | 29 | |||
| BUY No | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? | 75.8¢ | 40 | $30 | 100% | 29 | |||
| BUY No | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | 92¢ | 109 | $100 | 100% | 29 | |||
| BUY No | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | 91¢ | 110 | $100 | 100% | 29 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | 17.2¢ | 104 | $18 | 100% | 29 | |||
| BUY No | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | 19¢ | 53 | $10 | 100% | 29 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | 21¢ | 71 | $15 | 100% | 29 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? | 11¢ | 182 | $20 | 100% | 29 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | 45¢ | 22 | $10 | 100% | 29 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | 29¢ | 34 | $10 | 100% | 29 | |||
| BUY No | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | 90¢ | 111 | $100 | 100% | 29 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | 10¢ | 50 | $5.00 | 100% | 29 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | 65¢ | 77 | $50 | 100% | 29 |