sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,328

Michael-The-Taxiarch

0x3cc…fb0b
<30d oldPoliticsCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,371vol $252k
PnL 30d−$32gains $6,733 · losses $4,771
PnL 7d−$194win rate 7d 60.0%
Win rate57.1%adj 55.3% · 30d 57.1%
Open value$16.2kcash n/a
Positions7 / 64open / all-time
Max drawdown−28.6%of equity peak
Account age16dlast trade 11h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$5,062below peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 57.1% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity71

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 7

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No10.0k85¢84.5¢$8,450−$50$0
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2,97167.2¢100¢$2,971+$975+$1,464
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026?Yes2,12197.4¢100¢$2,121+$56−$2.16
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No1,73091.4¢97.4¢$1,685+$103−$83
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?Yes4,44421.5¢22¢$978+$24$0
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Yes3258.4¢69.5¢$22+$3.59$0
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?Yes3740.5¢0.6¢$2.25+$0.31$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?2.3¢842$1957%51
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?4.2¢842$3557%51
BUY YesNext White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026?97.4¢2,121$2,06657%51
BUY YesWill Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?96.9¢1,971$1,91057%51
BUY YesWill Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?97.8¢40$3957%51
BUY YesNext White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?69¢41$2857%51
BUY YesNext White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?59.2¢174$10357%51
BUY NoWill Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?91.9¢350$32157%51
BUY NoWill Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?89.9¢251$22657%51
BUY NoWill Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?88.6¢1,727$1,53057%51
BUY YesWill Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?8.4¢2,114$17857%51
BUY YesWill Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?0.7¢519$3.6457%51
SELL YesWill Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?32.6¢45$1557%51
BUY NoFDA approves Retatrutide this year?95.8¢531$50957%51
BUY YesBlue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?22.2¢3,414$75857%51
BUY YesBlue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?19¢1,030$19657%51
SELL YesWill Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?55¢655$36157%51
BUY YesWill Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?64.5¢400$25857%51
BUY YesWill Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?61.4¢600$36857%51
SELL YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)17¢1,000$17057%51