PnL all-time−$142vol $1,625
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate90.9%adj 64.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$250cash n/a
Positions2 / 13open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.4%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$142below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 90.9% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable37
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Gold missing from Fort Knox? · Noopen+$30Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$12Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election? · Yesclosed+$8.00Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yesopen+$5.00Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election? · Yesclosed+$4.60
Worst markets
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold missing from Fort Knox? | No | 150 | 80¢ | 100¢ | $150 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Yes | 100 | 95¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$5.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY Yes | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | 95¢ | 100 | $95 | 91% | 20 | |||
| BUY No | Gold missing from Fort Knox? | 80¢ | 150 | $120 | 91% | 20 | |||
| BUY No | Macron out as president of France in 2024? | 97.8¢ | 120 | $117 | 91% | 20 | |||
| BUY No | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | 96.9¢ | 129 | $125 | 91% | 20 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will a Republican win Montana US Senate Election? | 83¢ | 20 | $17 | 91% | 20 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will a Democrat win Michigan US Senate Election? | 83¢ | 20 | $17 | 91% | 20 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will a Republican win Texas US Senate Election? | 81¢ | 20 | $16 | 91% | 20 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election? | 77¢ | 20 | $15 | 91% | 20 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election? | 81¢ | 10 | $8.10 | 91% | 20 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election? | 92¢ | 100 | $92 | 91% | 20 | |||
| SELL Yes | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 45.1¢ | 8 | $3.67 | 91% | 20 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | 40.3¢ | 248 | $100 | 91% | 20 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will a Democrat win New Mexico US Senate Election? | 94¢ | 53 | $50 | 91% | 20 | |||
| BUY Titans | Colts vs. Titans | 58¢ | 386 | $224 | 91% | 20 |