PnL all-time−$266vol $937k
PnL 30d+$825gains $1,470 · losses $732
PnL 7d+$421win rate 7d 76.9%
Win rate84.4%adj 82.6% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions7 / 374open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 6h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$816below peak −$1,006Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 84.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? · Noclosed+$483Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? · Noclosed+$422Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? · Noclosed+$347Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? · Noclosed+$282Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? · Noclosed+$233
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? · Noopen−$2,454Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,026Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,021Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? · Noclosed−$847Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$801
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | No | 2,524 | 97.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,450 | −$3.57 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | Yes | 130 | 23.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$1.15 | |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | Yes | 77 | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$0.23 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | Yes | 76 | 13.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.43 | |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | Yes | 64 | 4.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | −$0.14 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | Yes | 30 | 33.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.33 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | No | 26 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$0.20 |
Recent trades
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