PnL all-time+$16.2kvol $907k
PnL 30d+$6,589gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$2,486win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate89.5%adj 69.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$51.0kcash n/a
Positions10 / 29open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 17d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$4,937below peak −$22.9kOct 10
SharpScore inputs
31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 89.5% · shrunk toward 50%73
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d43
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? · Yesclosed+$8,874Will France win on 2026-07-09? · Yesclosed+$5,242Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · Yesclosed+$4,224Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen+$2,050Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$1,675
Worst markets
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$13.7kWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$9,993Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium? · Yesopen−$3,109Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$3,010Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yesopen−$1,022
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 380k | 12.3¢ | 8.6¢ | $32.9k | −$13.7k | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 96.7k | 25.8¢ | 15.5¢ | $14.9k | −$9,993 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 23.9k | 4.7¢ | 13.3¢ | $3,163 | +$2,050 | $0 | |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 118k | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,925 | −$86 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 67.3k | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$938 | $0 | |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | No | 36.8k | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 | $0 | |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium? | Yes | 21.1k | 14.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,982 | −$127 | |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 19? | No | 11.0k | 9.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 | $0 | |
| Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Yes | 3,874 | 25.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 | −$22 | |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 20? | No | 853 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | $0 |
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