PnL all-time−$182vol $5,700
PnL 30d−$87gains $97 · losses $100
PnL 7d−$18win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate63.8%adj 59.7% · 30d 70.6%
Open value$718cash n/a
Positions39 / 86open / all-time
Max drawdown−20.5%of equity peak
Account age44dlast trade 15h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$202below peak −$202Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 63.8% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity80
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$77Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 11, 2026? · Yesclosed+$11Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$8.58Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yesclosed+$8.06Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026? · Noclosed+$7.72
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yesopen−$59Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 4, 2026? · Yesclosed−$46Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$36Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yesclosed−$33Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? · Yesclosed−$31
Open positions · 39
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