PnL all-time−$18.5kvol $295k
PnL 30d−$16.5kgains $11.7k · losses $1.89
PnL 7d+$236win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate93.8%adj 69.4% · 30d 88.9%
Open value$21.5kcash n/a
Positions6 / 22open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age57dlast trade 8d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$15.6kbelow peak −$30.1kOct 10
SharpScore inputs
19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 93.8% · shrunk toward 50%74
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable45
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d71
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? · Noclosed+$3,432Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Noopen+$2,726US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Noclosed+$2,195US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,735US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,463
Worst markets
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 18.4k | 78.6¢ | 93.5¢ | $17.2k | +$2,726 | $0 | |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? | No | 4,239 | 82.9¢ | 87¢ | $3,688 | +$173 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 684 | 80¢ | 89¢ | $609 | +$62 | $0 | |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 28.1k | 91.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25.6k | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 8,705 | 81.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,100 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 442 | 92¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$407 | $0 |
Recent trades
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