PnL all-time−$143vol $12.2k
PnL 30d−$0.63gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.06win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate14.1%adj 22.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,026cash n/a
Positions7 / 84open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.2%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$145below peak −$164Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 14.1% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend the 2026 State of the Union address? · Noopen+$112SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? · Yesclosed+$11Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in February? · Noopen+$9.18Will Torino be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season? · Noopen+$8.88Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$5.14
Worst markets
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February? · Noclosed−$70Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $6.00 end of February? · Noclosed−$48Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in February 2026? · Noclosed−$23Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $142 end of February? · Yesclosed−$18Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of February 2026? · Noclosed−$11
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | No | 511 | 78¢ | 100¢ | $511 | +$112 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in February? | No | 173 | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | $173 | +$8.88 | +$0.30 | |
| Will Serghei Spivac win by KO or TKO? | No | 163 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $163 | +$11 | −$9.21 | |
| Will Torino be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season? | No | 138 | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | $138 | +$8.80 | +$0.07 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | No | 36 | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | $36 | +$2.38 | $0 | |
| Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 54 | 10¢ | 6.2¢ | $3.34 | −$2.08 | −$0.05 | |
| Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026? | No | 2 | 95¢ | 100¢ | $2.16 | +$0.11 | +$4.62 |
Recent trades
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