PnL all-time+$3.18vol $10.8k
PnL 30d−$102gains $0.54 · losses $0.24
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.8%adj 66.0% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$108cash n/a
Positions6 / 40open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.9%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 21d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$3.71below peak −$7.89Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale7
Adjusted win rateraw 75.8% · shrunk toward 50%65
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable53
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d30
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Noclosed−$4.61Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17? · Noopen−$2.01Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%? · Noclosed−$2.00Trump says "mog" at Bitcoin Conference? · Yesclosed−$2.00Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 16? · Noopen−$1.03
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September? | No | 102 | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $102 | +$0.92 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 5 | 96.2¢ | 98.7¢ | $5.13 | +$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m? | Yes | 11 | 8.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 16? | No | 3 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17? | No | 3 | 75¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | −$0.01 | |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May? | No | 1 | 71¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.01 |
Recent trades
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