sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

kevin-airdrop

0x3e2…9890@kevin_airdrop
PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$30.5kvol $4.60M
PnL 30d+$384gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$113win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate88.4%adj 86.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$11.0kcash n/a
Positions82 / 1,155open / all-time
Max drawdown−22.4%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 4mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$33.1kbelow peak −$42Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 88.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity78

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 82

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Ebola pandemic in 2026?No3,00087¢98.4¢$2,951+$341$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,70059¢91.5¢$2,470+$878$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No2,00068¢73.5¢$1,470+$110$0
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?No80292.4¢96.9¢$777+$36$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,00014.6¢71.6¢$716+$570$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No50069.8¢93.5¢$468+$119$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No40066¢92.2¢$369+$105$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes40084¢90.5¢$362+$26+$3.00
Huddle FDV above $400M one day after launch?No34697.9¢98.2¢$339+$0.95$0
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?No22497¢96.9¢$217−$0.34+$0.05
Will Venezuela become 51st state?No20096.8¢98¢$196+$2.30$0
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No20029¢94.1¢$188+$130$0
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No11467.8¢92.5¢$105+$28$0
Huddle FDV above $200M one day after launch?No10495.3¢98.2¢$102+$2.97$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,3493.5¢4.6¢$61+$14$0
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?No5098¢93.5¢$47−$2.25$0
SlingshotDAO FDV above $500M one day after launch?No4198.3¢98.2¢$41−$0.05+$0.36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes10036¢28.5¢$29−$7.50$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes6038¢31.5¢$19−$3.90$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8001.6¢2.3¢$18+$5.20$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No980¢95.5¢$8.99+$1.46$0
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5000.8¢0.3¢$1.25−$2.75$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Yes1029¢9.5¢$0.94−$1.96$0
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5000.7¢0.2¢$0.75−$2.75$0
Will Aster dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?Yes1050¢7¢$0.70−$4.30$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,0001¢0.1¢$0.50−$9.50$0
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes2,0002.5¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?No1,39267.1¢0¢$0−$934$0
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?No1,07612¢0¢$0−$129+$146
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?No1,05589.2¢0¢$0−$941+$101
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 4?No1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?No96297¢0¢$0−$933$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETDown91089.6¢0¢$0−$815$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp82293¢0¢$0−$765$0
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes6600.9¢0¢$0−$5.94$0
Will less than 5000 US flights be delayed on March 24?No60098.5¢0¢$0−$591$0
Elsa FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes5590.2¢0¢$0−$1.12$0
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes5370.5¢0¢$0−$2.68$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp51880.2¢0¢$0−$416$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No50097.2¢0¢$0−$486−$678
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes5001.5¢0¢$0−$7.50$0
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No50047.7¢0¢$0−$238$0
Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?No43817.6¢0¢$0−$77$0
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No40092¢0¢$0−$368$0
Will $MARU reach $700M in Q1?No39748.8¢0¢$0−$194$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 26-1?No37496¢0¢$0−$359$0
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?No31180.7¢0¢$0−$251$0
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes3001.6¢0¢$0−$4.80$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETUp30047.7¢0¢$0−$143$0
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Nemesis23010.4¢0¢$0−$24$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No20066¢0¢$0−$132$0
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?No20059.7¢0¢$0−$119$0
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No20076¢0¢$0−$152$0
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of January?Yes20091.5¢0¢$0−$183$0
Will XRP dip to $1.60 in January?No20093.9¢0¢$0−$188$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No20079¢0¢$0−$158$0
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes20055¢0¢$0−$110$0
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?No20061¢0¢$0−$122+$24
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes19798.2¢0¢$0−$194$0
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?No15155.1¢0¢$0−$83$0
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No10069.8¢0¢$0−$70$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETDown10067¢0¢$0−$67$0
Will XRP reach $2.40 in January?No10086¢0¢$0−$86$0
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No1009¢0¢$0−$9.00$0
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes10095¢0¢$0−$95$0
Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?No10048¢0¢$0−$48$0
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?No10077¢0¢$0−$77$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 3?No10045¢0¢$0−$45$0
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?No10010¢0¢$0−$10$0
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 30-January 5?No10024¢0¢$0−$24$0
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?No10078¢0¢$0−$78$0
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?No10045¢0¢$0−$45$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 30?Yes9594.9¢0¢$0−$90$0
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?No507¢0¢$0−$3.50$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 5?No490.9¢0¢$0−$0.44$0
Will GoPro (GPRO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes4058¢0¢$0−$23$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown3019¢0¢$0−$5.70$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETDown3037.3¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 4?Yes1831¢0¢$0−$5.70$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETDown1046¢0¢$0−$4.60$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp510¢0¢$0−$0.50$0
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on April 29?Yes17¢0¢$0−$0.08$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?95.6¢1,625$1,55488%67
SELL NoOver $40M committed to the Printr public sale?99.2¢800$79488%67
SELL YesWill Trump visit China by June 30?99.5¢200$19988%67
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?28¢400$11288%67
SELL NoBillions FDV above $300M one day after launch?40¢192$7788%67
BUY NoOver $4M committed to the Printr public sale?96¢242$23388%67
BUY NoOver $60M committed to the Printr public sale?95¢458$43588%67
SELL $60kWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?7¢100$7.0088%67
BUY YesAligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?88¢100$8888%67
SELL YesWill MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?99.7¢1,305$1,30188%67
BUY NoOver $40M committed to the Printr public sale?96.1¢800$76988%67
BUY NoOver $30M committed to the Printr public sale?95.7¢792$75888%67
BUY NoOver $20M committed to the Printr public sale?94.8¢1,458$1,38388%67
BUY NoSpace FDV above $15M one day after launch?95.3¢49$4788%67
SELL NoPharos FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?99¢177$17588%67
SELL NoPharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?69.2¢12$8.5288%67
SELL NoPharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?78.9¢317$25088%67
BUY NoGensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?91.4¢1,581$1,44588%67
SELL NoPharos FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?99.5¢211$20988%67
SELL NoPharos FDV above $2B one day after launch?99.7¢1,025$1,02288%67