PnL all-time−$23.7kvol $1.68M
PnL 30d+$939gains $2,247 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$522win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate78.1%adj 73.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$66.1kcash n/a
Positions6 / 112open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 18h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$23.2kbelow peak −$29.6kOct 11
SharpScore inputs
38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 78.1% · shrunk toward 50%84
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale? · Noclosed+$2,942Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Noclosed+$2,247Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,788Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Noclosed+$1,365Hyperliquid all time high by December 31? · Noclosed+$1,305
Worst markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$23.0kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$8,704Will Bitcoin dip to $106k in October? · Noclosed−$2,528Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,252Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October? · Noclosed−$1,126
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 52.4k | 94¢ | 94.5¢ | $49.5k | +$245 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 7,616 | 88.8¢ | 88.5¢ | $6,740 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | No | 5,000 | 75¢ | 77.5¢ | $3,875 | +$125 | $0 | |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,505 | 88.4¢ | 90.5¢ | $2,267 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | No | 2,676 | 83¢ | 84.5¢ | $2,261 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 1,613 | 93¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,508 | +$8.07 | +$41 |
Recent trades
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