sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

weathermess

0x3e3…f8b6
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Weather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$44vol $155k
PnL 30d−$36gains $511 · losses $16
PnL 7d−$457win rate 7d 98.9%
Win rate99.6%adj 97.7% · 30d 99.6%
Open value$2.99cash n/a
Positions2 / 510open / all-time
Max drawdown−52.0%of equity peak
Account age39dlast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$20below peak −$497Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale24
Adjusted win rateraw 99.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity48

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 2

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 11?Yes1,1966.7¢0.3¢$2.99−$77+$15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?No55999.8¢0¢$0−$558$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 11?99.6¢437$436100%67
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 11?99.9¢79$79100%67
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 11?99.8¢79$79100%67
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 11?33.8¢381$129100%67
SELL NoWill the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 11?99.9¢10$9.99100%67
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?98.6¢150$148100%67
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?97.1¢80$78100%67
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?94.7¢114$108100%67
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?96.7¢20$19100%67
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?96.9¢30$29100%67
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?89.6¢423$379100%67
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?82.4¢45$37100%67
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?74.9¢30$22100%67
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 10?74.9¢10$7.49100%67
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 10?93¢10$9.30100%67
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 10?9¢11$1.00100%67
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 10?99.6¢74$74100%67
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 9?99.9¢1$1.43100%67
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 9?85¢6$5.15100%67
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 9?77.1¢61$47100%67