PnL all-time+$5,554vol $641k
PnL 30d−$250gains $843 · losses $1,427
PnL 7d+$393win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate89.7%adj 86.6% · 30d 85.0%
Open value$2,471cash n/a
Positions2 / 237open / all-time
Max drawdown−47.2%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$5,882below peak −$3,780Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 89.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity53
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yesclosed+$769Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$673Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand? · Noclosed+$542Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Downclosed+$523Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? · Yesclosed+$506
Worst markets
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noclosed−$3,050Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$2,831Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yesclosed−$1,309Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Upclosed−$1,013Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? · Noclosed−$900
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 2,166 | 96¢ | 95.7¢ | $2,072 | −$7.58 | $0 | |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? | No | 412 | 95.9¢ | 96.9¢ | $399 | +$4.07 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s