PnL all-time+$171vol $12.7k
PnL 30d−$39gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$22win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate83.3%adj 57.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,203cash n/a
Positions8 / 14open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.3%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 14h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$151below peak −$32Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale32
Adjusted win rateraw 83.3% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable38
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · Yesclosed+$109Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$58NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$33Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · Yesclosed+$32Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs · Natus Vincereclosed+$2.12
Worst markets
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$50Will Infinex launch a token by January 31, 2026? · Noopen−$10Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yesopen−$5.49Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yesclosed−$3.78France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Franceopen−$3.14
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1,099 | 91¢ | 90.5¢ | $995 | −$5.49 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 780 | 92¢ | 92¢ | $718 | $0 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 650 | 77¢ | 75.5¢ | $491 | −$9.75 | +$43 | |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 122 | 41¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Infinex launch a token by January 31, 2026? | No | 122 | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 | |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | France | 31 | 9.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | −$0.14 | |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | Yes | 21 | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | −$0.13 | |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | Yes | 19 | 15.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | −$0.13 |
Recent trades
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