sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

EmeraldEdge

0x3ec…1d30@th33m3rald3dg3
WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$13.0kvol $672k
PnL 30d+$871gains $1,251 · losses $363
PnL 7d+$478win rate 7d 73.7%
Win rate73.1%adj 72.2% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$1,604cash n/a
Positions111 / 1,494open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 10h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$12.2kbelow peak −$14.1kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 73.1% · shrunk toward 50%81
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No59988.8¢87¢$521−$11$0
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 22 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No30086.3¢95¢$285+$26+$0.58
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 58 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No14085.4¢99.1¢$139+$19$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes36050.9¢34¢$122−$61$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No10080.5¢100¢$100+$19$0
Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?Yes9139.2¢90¢$82+$46$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 64 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No6091¢99.8¢$60+$5.25$0
Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Yes6073¢99.2¢$60+$16$0
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes8059.5¢60.5¢$48+$0.80$0
Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No6070.5¢70.5¢$42$0$0
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 3, 2026?Yes2047¢90.9¢$18+$8.78$0
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes3649¢49.5¢$18+$0.18$0
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No2040¢87.5¢$18+$9.50$0
Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes2031¢83.5¢$17+$11$0
Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Yes2079.5¢76¢$15−$0.70$0
Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Yes2065¢64.5¢$13−$0.10$0
Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Yes2051¢51.5¢$10+$0.10$0
Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?Rodri2042¢50.5¢$10+$1.70$0
Scorigami in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL season?No1054¢94.5¢$9.45+$4.05$0
Will Folarin Balogun rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Yes4020.5¢20.5¢$8.20$0$0
Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No3017¢20¢$6.00+$0.90$0
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 18 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes884¢40¢$3.19−$3.51$0
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 22, 2026?Yes1853¢5.6¢$1.00−$8.50$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No201.8¢4.9¢$0.97+$0.60$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes2562¢0.8¢$0.20−$15$0
Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?Yes17.4k2.5¢0¢$0−$441−$5.86
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Sweden7,50092.8¢0¢$0−$6,960−$11
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?Yes3,20051.1¢0¢$0−$1,636−$4.90
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No2,0001.1¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,9930.2¢0¢$0−$3.98−$0.16
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes1,04315.8¢0¢$0−$165−$159
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes1,00078.5¢0¢$0−$785$0
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?Yes87517.2¢0¢$0−$151−$0.80
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes74466.1¢0¢$0−$492−$10
Will Trump say "Star" this week?Yes69562.3¢0¢$0−$433−$5.46
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes5362.5¢0¢$0−$13$0
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No5000.3¢0¢$0−$1.50+$31
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?No46217.5¢0¢$0−$81$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?No4133.8¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?Yes34819.4¢0¢$0−$68−$1.32
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?No30336.3¢0¢$0−$110−$0.87
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No26982.4¢0¢$0−$222+$36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes25628.2¢0¢$0−$72−$582
Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?No22254.8¢0¢$0−$122−$11
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?Yes2006.4¢0¢$0−$13$0
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Sweden20085¢0¢$0−$170$0
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes20018.3¢0¢$0−$37+$26
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?Yes20065.4¢0¢$0−$131$0
Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?No1711.9¢0¢$0−$3.25−$0.13
Will Nick Wehry Eat 43 or More Hotdogs at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026?U <4314258.1¢0¢$0−$83−$0.85
Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?Yes11910¢0¢$0−$12−$0.13
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes11073¢0¢$0−$80$0
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No10469.9¢0¢$0−$73−$232
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes10054¢0¢$0−$54$0
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?No10042¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?No1001.1¢0¢$0−$1.10$0
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5Over10037¢0¢$0−$37$0
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?Yes10012¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Tribute to America Rally?Yes10085¢0¢$0−$85$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9072¢0¢$0−$65$0
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Over9033¢0¢$0−$30$0
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?No9014¢0¢$0−$13$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No8855¢0¢$0−$49$0
Will Sarah Pidgeon – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Yes8537.9¢0¢$0−$32−$1.00
Will Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?No8074¢0¢$0−$59−$0.77
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over8040¢0¢$0−$32$0
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?No8010.7¢0¢$0−$8.56$0
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?Yes8025¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Coast Guard event?Yes7625.5¢0¢$0−$19−$0.28
Will Trump say "Transgender" 3+ times during RNC Convention?No6582.5¢0¢$0−$54+$2.12
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?Yes6046.3¢0¢$0−$28$0
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over6058¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Yes605.7¢0¢$0−$3.42−$0.16
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Yes5648.9¢0¢$0−$27−$78
Will "Onslaught" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No5587.5¢0¢$0−$48−$5.00
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Tribute to America Rally?Yes5061¢0¢$0−$31$0
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes5056.8¢0¢$0−$28$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes5016.4¢0¢$0−$8.20$0
Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?Yes5038¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will "The Brink of War" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No5053.5¢0¢$0−$26−$0.14
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?Yes458.8¢0¢$0−$3.95$0
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?Yes4046¢0¢$0−$18$0
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under4090¢0¢$0−$36$0
Will Spotify say "World Cup" during earnings call?Yes4045¢0¢$0−$18−$0.40
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Yes4012¢0¢$0−$4.78−$0.21
Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Best Choreography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?No3924.4¢0¢$0−$9.46−$0.36
Will Erling Haaland score 7+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No3373.8¢0¢$0−$24−$0.19
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?No3132.5¢0¢$0−$10−$0.24
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreNo3047¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Yes2430¢0¢$0−$7.20−$0.25
Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?No2117¢0¢$0−$3.57−$0.12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes2061.8¢0¢$0−$12−$14
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?No2025¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.15
Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?Yes2066¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?No2028.2¢0¢$0−$5.64−$4.29
Will "Finding Emily" score at least 88 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No2077¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote?Yes2062¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will "The Brink of War" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No1590¢0¢$0−$14−$13
Will the announcers say "iShowSpeed" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes1512¢0¢$0−$1.80−$0.06
Will Hung Up be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?Yes1266¢0¢$0−$7.92−$0.27

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?91¢5$4.5573%41
BUY NoWill "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?89¢30$2773%41
BUY NoWill "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?88.8¢48$4273%41
BUY NoWill "Other Mommy" score at least 22 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?83¢200$16673%41
BUY NoWill "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?40¢20$8.0073%41
BUY NoWill "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?17¢30$5.1073%41
SELL NoWill "Other Mommy" score at least 22 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?73¢60$4473%41
BUY NoWill "The Social Reckoning" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?1.9¢20$0.3773%41
BUY NoWill "The Social Reckoning" score at least 58 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?86¢100$8673%41
BUY NoWill "Other Mommy" score at least 22 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?70¢60$4273%41
BUY NoWill "The Social Reckoning" score at least 64 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?91¢60$5573%41
SELL YesWill Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?99.1¢39$3873%41
SELL YesWill Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?0.1¢103$0.1073%41
BUY YesWill Trump say "Dictionary" this week?77¢300$23173%41
BUY YesWill Trump say "Dictionary" this week?90¢473$42673%41
BUY YesWill Trump say "Dictionary" this week?89¢5$4.4573%41
BUY YesWill Trump say "Dictionary" this week?90¢10$9.0073%41
SELL YesWill Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?97.5¢150$14673%41
SELL YesWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 3, 2026?50¢4$2.0473%41
SELL YesWill Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?0.4¢20$0.0873%41