sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,684

RewardsMafia

0x3ee…cb2a
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+SportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$82.8kvol $3.55M
PnL 30d+$9,984gains $10.6k · losses $3,489
PnL 7d+$1,743win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate71.8%adj 69.8% · 30d 76.9%
Open value$126kcash n/a
Positions46 / 254open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 32d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$74.7kbelow peak −$83.5kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 71.8% · shrunk toward 50%75
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Noclosed+$7,875Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$4,882US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · Yesclosed+$4,053US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$3,938Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Yesclosed+$3,014

Worst markets

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Noclosed−$26.7kUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · Noclosed−$25.5kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$20.0kUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · Noclosed−$15.3kKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noclosed−$13.2k

Open positions · 46

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No49.7k86.6¢96.5¢$48.0k+$4,882$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No20.5k87.2¢96.7¢$19.9k+$1,944$0
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No14.9k75.3¢71.3¢$10.6k−$608$0
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?No11.8k84.2¢88.8¢$10.5k+$539$0
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?No8,02792¢93.5¢$7,501+$114$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No8,27161¢76.5¢$6,327+$1,279−$231
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No6,63484.5¢93¢$6,170+$561$0
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No11.6k51.7¢39.5¢$4,598−$1,425−$29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No3,67682.3¢89.5¢$3,290+$265$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No3,37376.6¢85¢$2,867+$284−$468
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?No2,44295¢95.6¢$2,333+$13+$3.40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No2,24594.4¢98¢$2,199+$81−$854
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?No83868.7¢93.5¢$784+$208$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No79085.9¢92.6¢$731+$53$0
Will Aurora Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?Yes6022.8¢6.5¢$39+$22$0
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?No7761¢40.7¢$31−$16−$0.58
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?Yes71227.6¢0.9¢$6.05−$190$0
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?Yes33422¢1¢$3.34−$70$0
Will FURIA Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?Yes7112.6¢0.1¢$0.36−$18$0
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes17.9k15.4¢0¢$0−$2,761−$38
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No11.1k17.4¢0¢$0−$1,931−$26
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes6,41026¢0¢$0−$1,666$0
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes5,26319¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,09916.8¢0¢$0−$859−$105
Will 9z Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?Yes5,0001.2¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes3,01216.6¢0¢$0−$500$0
Will Natus Vincere Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?Yes3,0002.7¢0¢$0−$81$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No2,94115.5¢0¢$0−$456−$8.85
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No2,75834.7¢0¢$0−$956+$301
Will PARIVISION Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?Yes1,7850.8¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?Yes1,25020¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No1,24870.5¢0¢$0−$880−$44
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes1,23426¢0¢$0−$321+$282
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?Yes96031¢0¢$0−$298−$1.64
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No72269¢0¢$0−$498+$1.73
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?Yes67637¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between -0.5% and 0.0%?Yes59542¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Yes4189¢0¢$0−$38+$0.41
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds41760¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will 1win Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?Yes3621.6¢0¢$0−$5.79$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes23735¢0¢$0−$83+$1,312
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?Yes14438¢0¢$0−$55+$62
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be negative?Yes8827¢0¢$0−$24+$193
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes2946¢0¢$0−$13$0
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?No2010¢0¢$0−$2.03$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No169¢0¢$0−$0.69$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoVariational FDV above $2B one day after launch?75.5¢5$3.7872%31
SELL NoWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?7.2¢1,443$10472%31
BUY NoFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?73.8¢338$24972%31
BUY NoWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?75¢300$22572%31
BUY YesFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?31.1¢714$22272%31
BUY YesWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?15.5¢5,747$89172%31
BUY NoWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?17¢3,732$63472%31
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?14¢1,471$20672%31
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?36¢2,778$1,00072%31
BUY NoWill UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be negative?88¢12$1072%31
BUY YesWill Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?31¢154$4872%31
BUY NoWill UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?84¢298$25072%31
BUY NoWill Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?78¢309$24172%31
BUY NoWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?67¢347$23372%31
BUY YesWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?13.6¢164$2272%31
BUY YesWill UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?31¢269$8472%31
BUY YesWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?72¢57$4172%31
BUY NoWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?28¢271$7672%31
BUY NoWill Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?79¢25$2072%31
BUY NoWill Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?81.7¢305$24972%31