PnL all-time+$25.8kvol $16.0M
PnL 30d−$5,622gains $63.8k · losses $48.8k
PnL 7d+$1,376win rate 7d 33.3%
Win rate55.8%adj 55.4% · 30d 44.4%
Open value$8,356cash n/a
Positions5 / 291open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.8%of equity peak
Account age2.7ylast trade 6h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$27.1kbelow peak $0Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 55.8% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed+$47.8kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$29.9kNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$21.2kUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yesclosed+$20.6kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$15.7k
Worst markets
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed−$46.7kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$22.5kUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Noclosed−$20.5kNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$19.8kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$13.5k
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 715 | 2.8¢ | 0.9¢ | $6.08 | −$14 | −$5.57 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 24.0k | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$96 | −$4.78 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 24.0k | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$48 | −$2.40 | |
| Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference? | No | 3,637 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$36 | −$1.43 |
Recent trades
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