PnL all-time+$118vol $59.6k
PnL 30d+$269gains $116 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$269win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate62.5%adj 55.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$4,997cash n/a
Positions4 / 20open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.9%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 15h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$205below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale30
Adjusted win rateraw 62.5% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? · Yesopen+$136US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$45US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yesclosed+$34US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yesclosed+$12US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yesclosed+$10
Worst markets
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Noclosed−$6.51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? · Noopen−$1.00Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs? · Yesclosed−$0.87Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting? · Yesopen−$0.70Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election? · Yesopen−$0.50
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | Yes | 5,042 | 96.6¢ | 99.1¢ | $4,997 | +$125 | +$12 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | No | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting? | Yes | 100 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.70 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election? | Yes | 100 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.50 | $0 |
Recent trades
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