| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 28.1k | 49.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $22.9k | +$8,990 | +$1,076 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 28.3k | 73.7¢ | 61.5¢ | $17.4k | −$3,457 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 15.7k | 29.1¢ | 42.5¢ | $6,673 | +$2,108 | +$405 | |
| Negative GDP growth in 2026? | No | 6,648 | 87¢ | 98¢ | $6,512 | +$728 | +$32 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 13.0k | 31.7¢ | 43¢ | $5,577 | +$1,466 | +$38 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 11.4k | 36.1¢ | 41.3¢ | $4,701 | +$584 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 4,953 | 90.4¢ | 90.5¢ | $4,482 | +$5.24 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 6,187 | 68.5¢ | 57¢ | $3,526 | −$711 | +$17 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 29.7k | 19.7¢ | 8.3¢ | $2,450 | −$3,408 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 23.1k | 35.8¢ | 10.5¢ | $2,429 | −$5,860 | −$38 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 31.0k | 34.2¢ | 7.5¢ | $2,325 | −$8,268 | $0 | |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? | No | 2,302 | 68.4¢ | 89.1¢ | $2,052 | +$478 | +$83 | |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | No | 2,125 | 91.1¢ | 96.4¢ | $2,048 | +$113 | $0 | |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 1,947 | 45.3¢ | 98.6¢ | $1,920 | +$1,037 | +$2,452 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5,000 | 46.7¢ | 35.5¢ | $1,775 | −$559 | +$548 | |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 1,955 | 69.1¢ | 86.8¢ | $1,696 | +$345 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 10.8k | 15.6¢ | 9.5¢ | $1,022 | −$658 | −$21 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 27.6k | 19.8¢ | 3.7¢ | $1,006 | −$4,462 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 29.3k | 15.8¢ | 3.4¢ | $983 | −$3,659 | −$0.14 | |
| Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 92.3¢ | 98.2¢ | $982 | +$59 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8,091 | 22.5¢ | 11.5¢ | $930 | −$890 | −$156 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,347 | 32.1¢ | 26.5¢ | $887 | −$187 | +$1,409 | |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 7,116 | 24.7¢ | 12.4¢ | $882 | −$876 | −$409 | |
| Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 886 | 91¢ | 97.9¢ | $867 | +$61 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 12.9k | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | $831 | −$841 | +$34 | |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 4,501 | 15.5¢ | 16¢ | $720 | +$24 | −$3.54 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | No | 619 | 92.6¢ | 98.2¢ | $608 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1,579 | 46.5¢ | 37.5¢ | $592 | −$142 | +$291 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 525 | 86.3¢ | 82.5¢ | $433 | −$20 | −$65 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9,268 | 24.7¢ | 4.5¢ | $417 | −$1,868 | −$345 | |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 4,295 | 15.1¢ | 9.2¢ | $395 | −$255 | −$69 | |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 3,840 | 12.8¢ | 8.4¢ | $321 | −$173 | −$779 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3,101 | 16.8¢ | 9.5¢ | $295 | −$225 | −$158 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December? | No | 477 | 10.6¢ | 51¢ | $243 | +$193 | $0 | |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 1,439 | 12.2¢ | 16.5¢ | $237 | +$63 | +$18 | |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 529 | 43¢ | 43.5¢ | $230 | +$2.65 | −$349 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | No | 239 | 90¢ | 94.5¢ | $226 | +$11 | +$5.22 | |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 1,806 | 12.9¢ | 10¢ | $181 | −$52 | −$48 | |
| Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? | No | 166 | 94¢ | 99¢ | $164 | +$8.22 | $0 | |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | Yes | 1,357 | 11.4¢ | 10.5¢ | $143 | −$12 | −$4.10 | |
| Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | No | 174 | 76.1¢ | 76.5¢ | $133 | +$0.62 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? | No | 134 | 94¢ | 98.2¢ | $132 | +$5.63 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? | No | 148 | 85.8¢ | 88.7¢ | $131 | +$4.23 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 233 | 57¢ | 55.5¢ | $129 | −$3.49 | −$1.98 | |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 234 | 38.4¢ | 53.5¢ | $125 | +$35 | +$33 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | No | 142 | 78¢ | 77.5¢ | $110 | −$0.71 | $0 | |
| Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 2,517 | 12.2¢ | 4.1¢ | $102 | −$205 | −$120 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 925 | 14.5¢ | 10¢ | $93 | −$42 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,104 | 18.4¢ | 4.4¢ | $92 | −$295 | −$1,223 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,202 | 31.6¢ | 7.5¢ | $90 | −$290 | −$594 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 640 | 16¢ | 13¢ | $83 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 3,943 | 8.8¢ | 1.8¢ | $69 | −$278 | −$200 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,669 | 6¢ | 3.8¢ | $63 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 56 | 94.1¢ | 99.3¢ | $55 | +$2.88 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 367 | 7¢ | 13.5¢ | $50 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 50 | 90¢ | 96.8¢ | $48 | +$3.38 | $0 | |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1,661 | 3.5¢ | 2.9¢ | $47 | −$10 | +$42 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 111 | 43¢ | 41.5¢ | $46 | −$1.66 | $0 | |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | Yes | 824 | 10.1¢ | 5.3¢ | $44 | −$40 | +$3.95 | |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 45 | 87¢ | 96.3¢ | $44 | +$4.19 | +$70 | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 51 | 78¢ | 79.5¢ | $40 | +$0.76 | +$1.53 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December? | Yes | 70 | 41¢ | 49¢ | $34 | +$5.60 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 88 | 49.4¢ | 36.5¢ | $32 | −$11 | −$329 | |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 60 | 21¢ | 28.5¢ | $17 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 19 | 63¢ | 88¢ | $16 | +$4.66 | $0 | |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 390 | 7.9¢ | 4.1¢ | $16 | −$15 | −$37 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 17 | 53¢ | 55.5¢ | $9.68 | +$0.44 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? | Yes | 91 | 21.7¢ | 10.5¢ | $9.59 | −$10 | +$0.58 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 293 | 13.3¢ | 3.1¢ | $8.94 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 59 | 7.1¢ | 12.8¢ | $7.46 | +$3.29 | +$11 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 36 | 13¢ | 20¢ | $7.24 | +$2.54 | +$194 | |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1,002 | 2.5¢ | 0.7¢ | $6.51 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 1,101 | 0.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $6.06 | −$3.64 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027? | Yes | 100 | 4¢ | 5.8¢ | $5.75 | +$1.75 | $0 | |
| Will Bruno Mars be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 488 | 1.5¢ | 1.2¢ | $5.61 | −$1.65 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027? | Yes | 146 | 3.4¢ | 3.7¢ | $5.41 | +$0.44 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 95 | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | $5.25 | −$4.29 | −$25 | |
| Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 5 | 89¢ | 96.6¢ | $4.83 | +$0.38 | $0 | |
| Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 754 | 10¢ | 0.6¢ | $4.53 | −$71 | −$24 | |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 20 | 13¢ | 22.5¢ | $4.50 | +$1.90 | +$58 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 99 | 3.9¢ | 3.8¢ | $3.72 | −$0.18 | +$16 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? | Yes | 86 | 14.8¢ | 3.7¢ | $3.13 | −$9.58 | +$18 | |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 84 | 4¢ | 1.6¢ | $1.30 | −$2.06 | −$4.47 | |
| Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? | Yes | 43 | 11.8¢ | 2.5¢ | $1.06 | −$4.04 | −$14 | |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | No | 7 | 5.7¢ | 8.9¢ | $0.66 | +$0.24 | −$9.49 | |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 9 | 2¢ | 4.7¢ | $0.41 | +$0.24 | $0 | |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 12 | 7¢ | 2.8¢ | $0.33 | −$0.50 | −$44 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 32 | 15¢ | 0.8¢ | $0.24 | −$4.56 | +$29 | |
| Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? | Yes | 2 | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | $0.21 | −$0.03 | −$5.90 | |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | 46.0k | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,216 | −$90 | |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | 43.5k | 9.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,322 | −$264 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? | Yes | 36.5k | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$534 | $0 | |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31? | Yes | 36.5k | 11.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,131 | −$85 | |
| Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | 36.4k | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$620 | +$4.55 | |
| UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) | Lopes | 30.0k | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12.0k | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? | Yes | 27.8k | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,336 | −$27 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 25.0k | 26.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,652 | −$1,360 | |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? | Yes | 21.0k | 7.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,621 | +$3.61 | |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 19.8k | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,712 | +$22 | |
| Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? | Yes | 17.1k | 12.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,086 | +$450 | |