sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,051

FrogCharts

0x3f4…9979@FrogCharts
SharpPnL 10k+WR 60+PoliticsWeatherOtherCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$11.0kvol $183k
PnL 30d+$6,812gains $10.5k · losses $2,779
PnL 7d+$3,803win rate 7d 78.6%
Win rate68.1%adj 66.7% · 30d 70.3%
Open value$3,011cash n/a
Positions22 / 255open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.2%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$12.6kbelow peak $0Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

77/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 68.1% · shrunk toward 50%67
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?Yes1,66471.6¢83.5¢$1,389+$198+$101
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?No85049.5¢51.5¢$438+$17$0
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in October?No33867.7¢83.5¢$282+$53+$0.43
Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?No31775.4¢86.2¢$273+$34+$19
Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?Yes53835.1¢28.5¢$153−$36+$39
Will Seattle have more than 6 inches of precipitation in October?No15381.6¢96.6¢$148+$23+$16
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Yes22261.6¢62¢$137+$0.84+$3.14
Will NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October?No6691.1¢90.5¢$59−$0.37+$2.53
SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?No12055.5¢48¢$57−$9.01$0
Will Seoul have between 20-30mm of precipitation in October?Yes29016¢11.5¢$33−$13$0
Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?No2075¢85.5¢$17+$2.10$0
Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?No2079¢79.5¢$16+$0.10+$12
Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?Yes359.1¢11.6¢$4.05+$0.86+$29
Will NYC have between 5.25 and 6.25 inches of precipitation in October?Yes251.4¢8.6¢$2.16+$1.81$0
Will Seoul have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?Yes21¢19.6¢$0.39+$0.37$0
Will Seattle have between 4.75 and 6 inches of precipitation in October?Yes571.7¢0.3¢$0.17−$0.79$0
Will Chen Kai-huang win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes121¢0.6¢$0.07−$0.05$0
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No1,24172¢0¢$0−$894$0
Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in September?Yes1,05113.4¢0¢$0−$141−$5.67
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?Yes7464.7¢0¢$0−$35+$4.10
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in September?Yes5090.9¢0¢$0−$4.79−$0.24
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?No2152¢0¢$0−$11−$0.21

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?74.7¢1,010$75568%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?26¢20$5.2068%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in October?67.7¢338$22968%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?64.3¢470$30268%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?74.9¢250$18768%77Sharp
SELL YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?99.9¢442$44268%77Sharp
SELL YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?99.9¢3,944$3,94068%77Sharp
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?77.7¢33$2568%77Sharp
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?83¢10$8.3068%77Sharp
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?85¢10$8.5068%77Sharp
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?73.1¢105$7768%77Sharp
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?52¢5$2.6068%77Sharp
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?52¢5$2.6068%77Sharp
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?51¢5$2.5568%77Sharp
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?51¢5$2.5568%77Sharp
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?64.5¢133$8668%77Sharp
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?51¢5$2.5568%77Sharp
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?60¢125$7568%77Sharp
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?61.5¢905$55768%77Sharp
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?55.9¢56$3168%77Sharp