sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,631

50degrees

0x3f4…fa88
PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,539vol $73.4k
PnL 30d+$53gains $83 · losses $155
PnL 7d+$91win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate52.6%adj 51.3% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$4,818cash n/a
Positions20 / 39open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 16h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2,004below peak −$3,542Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 52.6% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable53
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 20

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes4,99364.2¢63.5¢$3,170−$35$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No1,30069.7¢89¢$1,157+$251$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes1,50063¢14.5¢$218−$728$0
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00016¢15.5¢$155−$5.00$0
Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes18256¢65¢$118+$16$0
Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes2,5501¢0¢$0−$25$0
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes1,7674.5¢0¢$0−$80$0
Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes1,6863.1¢0¢$0−$52$0
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes1,5790.9¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?No1,42236.6¢0¢$0−$521$0
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes1,0009.6¢0¢$0−$96$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes50013.8¢0¢$0−$69$0
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No20039¢0¢$0−$78$0
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes11075¢0¢$0−$82−$1.01
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes6021.2¢0¢$0−$13−$0.50
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsYes4028¢0¢$0−$11$0
Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsYes4029.4¢0¢$0−$12−$0.42
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes2552.3¢0¢$0−$13−$0.31
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?Yes2011¢0¢$0−$2.20−$0.10
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?Yes2013¢0¢$0−$2.60−$0.11

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?63¢1,000$63053%19
SELL YesIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?6¢1,500$9053%19
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?16¢1,000$16053%19
BUY YesWill the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?56¢182$10253%19
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?63¢2,500$1,57553%19
BUY NoWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?42¢1,189$50053%19
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?67¢1,493$1,00053%19
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?23.7¢600$14253%19
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?11¢1,700$18753%19
SELL YesWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?7¢0$0.0353%19
SELL YesWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?6¢1,240$7453%19
SELL YesWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?7¢2,479$17453%19
SELL YesWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?8¢1,407$11353%19
SELL YesWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?9¢205$1853%19
SELL YesWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?11¢900$9953%19
SELL YesWill 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?5¢137$6.8753%19
SELL YesWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?11¢700$7753%19
BUY YesWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?38¢5,000$1,90053%19
SELL NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?95¢2,000$1,90053%19
BUY YesWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?38¢1,000$38053%19