sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,068

retr544

0x3f9…fc18
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+SportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$391vol $0
PnL 30d+$10.2kgains $5.22 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$10.2kwin rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 52.4% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$21.2kcash n/a
Positions92 / 114open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age—

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale37
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable69
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 81

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Courmayeur: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Ayla AksuAyla Aksu8,77992.3¢100¢$8,779+$679−$31
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup PlayoffsHOTU1,62646¢100¢$1,626+$878−$20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2,50536¢45.5¢$1,140+$237$0
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes1,91341.7¢55.5¢$1,062+$263$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Yes1,84531.4¢52.5¢$969+$389$0
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA80090.3¢100¢$800+$78−$3.04
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Yes2,27632.5¢34.1¢$775+$36$0
1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes1,09426¢56¢$613+$328$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?No52490.6¢95.5¢$500+$25$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?No56080.5¢86.7¢$485+$35$0
M25 Norman, OK: Luca Pow vs Aidan MchughLuca Pow43093¢100¢$430+$30−$1.40
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 1 WinnerHOTU42970¢100¢$429+$129−$4.50
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?Yes41378.8¢88.5¢$366+$40$0
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Yes23694¢98.9¢$233+$12$0
M15 João Pessoa: Tomas Farjat vs Joao Victor Couto LoureiroTomas Farjat49644.6¢45.5¢$226+$4.46$0
Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers30571¢72.5¢$221+$4.58$0
Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?Yes20468.7¢100¢$204+$64$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?No40049.2¢48.7¢$195−$2.20$0
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?No40033.9¢33¢$132−$3.80$0
Panthers vs. PackersPackers19064¢63.5¢$121−$0.95$0
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerfnatic11470.1¢100¢$114+$34−$1.17
Spread: Ohio State (-7.5)USC20057¢55.5¢$111−$3.00$0
Spread: Nebraska (-8.5)Washington20054¢53.5¢$107−$1.00$0
Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 6.1 or more?No9891.2¢100¢$98+$8.59$0
Browns vs. SteelersSteelers15065¢64.5¢$97−$0.75$0
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Iberian Soul - Map 1 WinnerIberian Soul7161¢100¢$71+$28−$0.84
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?Yes7185¢83.5¢$59−$1.08$0
Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group BSpirit Academy5774¢100¢$57+$15−$0.54
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes8563¢65¢$55+$1.70$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes7771¢69.5¢$54−$1.16$0
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?Yes5579.9¢87.5¢$48+$4.17$0
Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?Yes5087¢93.8¢$47+$3.45$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes5087¢82.5¢$41−$2.25$0
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?No4973.7¢83.5¢$41+$4.83$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?No5079¢78.8¢$39−$0.12$0
CSD Mixco vs. CSD Xelajú MC: O/U 1.5Under3950¢100¢$39+$19$0
Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs Diamant Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular SeasonDiamant Esports7156¢50¢$35−$4.24$0
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes23.6k60.3¢0.2¢$35−$14.2k$0
Will HNK Gorica be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?Yes8236.8¢40.5¢$33+$3.01$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No4070.5¢80.3¢$32+$3.92$0
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No36010¢8.6¢$31−$5.02$0
Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?No3197.4¢100¢$31+$0.82$0
Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?No3198¢100¢$31+$0.61$0
Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?Yes4054.5¢72¢$29+$7.00$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No4064.8¢70.2¢$28+$2.16$0
Will FC Inter Turku vs. HJK Helsinki end in a draw?No2578¢100¢$25+$5.58−$0.22
W35 Norman, OK: Reina Goto vs Salakthip OunmuangSalakthip Ounmuang2485¢100¢$24+$3.53−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 30?Yes9326.9¢23¢$21−$3.66$0
Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Jiri LeheckaJiri Lehecka2098¢100¢$20+$0.41−$0.02
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 29?No2092¢100¢$20+$1.60$0
Will Shea Theodore record 100+ points?Yes4067.8¢49.8¢$20−$7.24$0
Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?No2098¢99.5¢$20+$0.29$0
Democratic Senate odds <60% on October 30?No2092¢97.5¢$19+$1.09$0
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 30, 2026?Yes2074¢89.5¢$18+$3.10$0
Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?No4039¢43.5¢$17+$1.80$0
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5Over3155¢51.5¢$16−$1.07$0
Will Sofia Sewing advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?Yes4068.5¢39¢$16−$12$0
Will Riley Newman / Layne Sleeth advance to the Final in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?No2014¢73.5¢$15+$12$0
Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?No2080¢73.5¢$15−$1.30$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?Yes2071¢70.5¢$14−$0.10$0
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?No2067¢66.5¢$13−$0.10$0
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?No1398.8¢97.1¢$12−$0.22$0
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on November 1?No2081¢62¢$12−$3.80$0
Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes2056¢61.5¢$12+$1.10$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 29?No1299¢99.9¢$12+$0.11$0
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?No1387.7¢93.1¢$12+$0.69$0
Will Grayson Goldin advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?No2135.4¢56.5¢$12+$4.35$0
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?No1392¢90¢$11−$0.25$0
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?No1391.6¢86.8¢$11−$0.61$0
Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?No2065¢55.5¢$11−$1.90$0
Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?No2053¢55¢$11+$0.40$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes5022.2¢21.3¢$11−$0.47$0
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?No2070¢53¢$11−$3.40$0
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 30?Yes2045¢53¢$11+$1.60$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1551¢67.5¢$10+$2.52$0
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?No2067¢50¢$10−$3.40$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.25 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes2037¢49.5¢$9.90+$2.50$0
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?No2063¢49¢$9.80−$2.80$0
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsOG25154¢3.3¢$8.27−$127$0
Will Tyra Hurricane Black / Jorja Johnson advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?No4045¢14¢$5.60−$12$0
Will Anna Leigh Waters advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?No2013¢6.5¢$1.30−$1.30$0

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