sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,674

Lolakis

0x401…6fc9
SharpWhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$82.7kvol $18.2M
PnL 30d+$12.0kgains $34.9k · losses $22.3k
PnL 7d+$1,928win rate 7d 61.5%
Win rate70.0%adj 69.2% · 30d 62.4%
Open value$65.8kcash n/a
Positions22 / 1,786open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.4%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$87.0kbelow peak −$1,066Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 70.0% · shrunk toward 50%73
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No20.0k91.2¢90.5¢$18.1k−$140−$14
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?No17.5k81.8¢83.5¢$14.6k+$299+$636
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes20.0k64¢62.5¢$12.5k−$300$0
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?No10.0k83¢72.5¢$7,250−$1,050+$576
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No5,00090¢90.5¢$4,525+$25+$50
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?No4,60186¢88.5¢$4,072+$115−$7.46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes3,71994.8¢94.4¢$3,511−$16−$0.02
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes3,42612¢11.5¢$394−$17−$63
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?No35577¢77.5¢$275+$1.78+$113
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Yes39860.9¢48.5¢$193−$49−$64
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?No22664.6¢80¢$180+$35−$141
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes10061.7¢69.7¢$70+$7.95+$30
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes3477¢79.5¢$27+$0.85+$381
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?Yes4396.3¢6¢$26−$1.46+$22
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes10023¢22.5¢$23−$0.50$0
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes46514.3¢4.5¢$21−$46−$19
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes2909¢4.5¢$13−$13−$29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No5226¢22.5¢$12−$1.82−$179
Greenland snap election called by December 31?No1294.4¢94.9¢$12+$0.06$0
Houthis enter Aden by October 15, 2026?Yes4565¢1.7¢$7.53−$15−$0.87
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No684¢84.5¢$5.18+$0.03+$170
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No110¢8.5¢$0.10−$0.02−$4.83

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?93¢291$27170%79Sharp
SELL NoWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?59¢150$8870%79Sharp
SELL YesWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?57.7¢340$19670%79Sharp
SELL YesWill Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?99.9¢100$10070%79Sharp
BUY YesWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?55¢176$9770%79Sharp
BUY YesWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?30.8¢864$26670%79Sharp
BUY NoWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?79¢165$13070%79Sharp
BUY NoWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?64.6¢1,207$77970%79Sharp
SELL YesUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?15.2¢1,000$15270%79Sharp
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?10¢115$1170%79Sharp
SELL YesWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?15¢40$6.0070%79Sharp
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢9,994$8,39570%79Sharp
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?11¢616$6870%79Sharp
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?29¢13$3.6270%79Sharp
SELL YesSaudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026?5¢5$0.2570%79Sharp
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?16¢6,011$96270%79Sharp
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢10.0k$8,40070%79Sharp
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?11¢2,306$25470%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?78¢3,173$2,47570%79Sharp
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?77¢774$59670%79Sharp