sharpside
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Traders/Rank #16,062

av0gs8d7

0x403…78f8
WeatherPoliticsOtherCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$665vol $41.2k
PnL 30d−$50gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.18win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate33.3%adj 37.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$4,076cash n/a
Positions42 / 102open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 8mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$752below peak −$936Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

14/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 33.3% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 42

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes2,33822¢100¢$2,338+$1,824$0
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No32050¢100¢$320+$160$0
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No21679.3¢100¢$216+$45$0
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Yes21062¢100¢$210+$80$0
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes20517¢100¢$205+$170$0
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes19344¢100¢$193+$108$0
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?No11984¢100¢$119+$19$0
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes11157.2¢100¢$111+$47$0
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No8280¢100¢$82+$16$0
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes6446¢100¢$64+$35$0
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No4485¢100¢$44+$6.61$0
Will Delta say "Acquisition" during earnings call?Yes4065¢100¢$40+$14$0
Cerebras IPO before 2027?Yes3580¢100¢$35+$7.00$0
Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes3238¢100¢$32+$20$0
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes2274¢100¢$22+$5.72$0
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?Yes2035.9¢100¢$20+$13$0
Will Trump say "TrumpRx.gov" or "TrumpRx.com" or "TrumpRx" in January?Yes1476¢100¢$14+$3.36$0
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No6930¢4.9¢$3.38−$17$0
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Yes28418.2¢1¢$2.84−$49$0
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?Yes4628¢5.9¢$2.69−$10$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes3729¢4.4¢$1.61−$9.12$0
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?Yes534.1¢7¢$0.35−$1.35$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?Yes2,02611.4¢0¢$0−$232$0
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes1,14732¢0¢$0−$367$0
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Yes94417.6¢0¢$0−$166$0
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes57044.5¢0¢$0−$253$0
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes50022¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?Yes4543.3¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes23821¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes2028¢0¢$0−$16$0
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?Yes13047.6¢0¢$0−$62$0
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No5725¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes5524.7¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes4233.6¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes2524¢0¢$0−$6.00$0
Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025?Yes2032¢0¢$0−$6.40$0
Will Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?Yes2024¢0¢$0−$4.80$0
Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes1517¢0¢$0−$2.55$0
Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes1319¢0¢$0−$2.47$0
Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes1018.9¢0¢$0−$1.89$0
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo873¢0¢$0−$5.84$0
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes760¢0¢$0−$4.20$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?28¢46$1333%14
BUY YesWill Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?34.1¢5$1.7033%14
BUY YesWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?62¢210$13033%14
BUY YesWill MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?17¢15$2.5533%14
BUY NoWill "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?85¢44$3733%14
BUY YesWill Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?18.9¢10$1.8933%14
BUY YesWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 202660¢7$4.2033%14
BUY YesWill Trump say "TrumpRx.gov" or "TrumpRx.com" or "TrumpRx" in January?76¢14$1133%14
BUY YesWill Delta say "Acquisition" during earnings call?65¢40$2633%14
BUY YesWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?34¢25$8.5033%14
BUY YesWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?33¢17$5.6133%14
BUY NoWill Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?25¢57$1433%14
BUY YesWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?17¢205$3533%14
BUY YesSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?74¢22$1633%14
BUY YesCerebras IPO before 2027?80¢25$2033%14
BUY YesCerebras IPO before 2027?80¢10$8.0033%14
BUY YesWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?29¢26$7.5433%14
BUY YesWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?29¢11$3.1933%14
BUY NoWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?30¢49$1533%14
BUY NoWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?30¢20$6.0033%14