Traders/Rank #3,809

PM-MarketMaker

0x404…4cd2

WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Crypto

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$9,438vol $1.23M

PnL 30d+$2,434gains $3,902 · losses $39

PnL 7d+$2,865win rate 7d 97.6%

Win rate97.6%adj 95.8% · 30d 97.6%

Open value$0cash n/a

Positions2,000 / 19,099open / all-time

Max drawdown−99.7%of equity peak

Account age6molast trade 12m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$4,771below peak −$4,751Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 97.6% · shrunk toward 50%100

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Downclosed+$62 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET · Downclosed+$59 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Upclosed+$40 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Upclosed+$29 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Downclosed+$29

Worst markets

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yesopen−$1,116 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Upopen−$1,027 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET · Downopen−$290 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Upopen−$152 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET · Upopen−$133

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	10.4k	1.1¢	0¢	$0	−$111	−$7.48	ended
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	1,579	69.9¢	0¢	$0	−$1,104	−$12	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	1,047	98¢	0¢	$0	−$1,026	−$1.44	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	319	40¢	0¢	$0	−$128	−$5.36	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	314	91.8¢	0¢	$0	−$289	−$1.08	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	272	40.4¢	0¢	$0	−$110	−$4.59	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	270	47¢	0¢	$0	−$127	−$4.71	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	268	55¢	0¢	$0	−$147	−$4.64	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	239	48.3¢	0¢	$0	−$115	−$4.13	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	226	42.3¢	0¢	$0	−$95	−$3.85	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	225	48¢	0¢	$0	−$108	−$3.93	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	207	47¢	0¢	$0	−$97	−$3.60	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	178	46.7¢	0¢	$0	−$83	−$3.10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	171	47.8¢	0¢	$0	−$82	−$2.98	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	158	47¢	0¢	$0	−$74	−$2.75	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	158	46¢	0¢	$0	−$73	−$2.74	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	145	48¢	0¢	$0	−$70	−$2.53	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	145	48¢	0¢	$0	−$69	−$2.53	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	144	25.1¢	0¢	$0	−$36	−$1.89	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	142	35.9¢	0¢	$0	−$51	−$2.29	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	138	46.2¢	0¢	$0	−$63	−$2.39	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	136	44¢	0¢	$0	−$60	−$2.34	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	136	45¢	0¢	$0	−$61	−$2.35	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	134	48¢	0¢	$0	−$65	−$2.35	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	134	48¢	0¢	$0	−$64	−$2.34	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	134	46.4¢	0¢	$0	−$62	−$2.33	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	132	47.2¢	0¢	$0	−$62	−$2.30	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	132	46.4¢	0¢	$0	−$61	−$2.30	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	132	44.5¢	0¢	$0	−$59	−$2.28	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	131	46¢	0¢	$0	−$60	−$2.28	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	129	35.7¢	0¢	$0	−$46	−$2.07	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	126	49¢	0¢	$0	−$62	−$2.20	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	124	29.1¢	0¢	$0	−$36	−$1.76	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	120	48.1¢	0¢	$0	−$58	−$2.09	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	120	87.4¢	0¢	$0	−$104	−$0.45	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	119	52¢	0¢	$0	−$62	−$2.08	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	119	48.4¢	0¢	$0	−$57	−$2.07	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	118	48¢	0¢	$0	−$57	−$2.06	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	118	48.3¢	0¢	$0	−$57	−$2.06	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	116	47¢	0¢	$0	−$55	−$2.03	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	115	48¢	0¢	$0	−$55	−$2.01	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	114	48¢	0¢	$0	−$55	−$2.00	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	112	46¢	0¢	$0	−$52	−$1.95	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	112	44.9¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$1.93	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	109	55¢	0¢	$0	−$60	−$1.89	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	109	55¢	0¢	$0	−$60	−$1.89	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	107	47.3¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$1.86	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	106	42¢	0¢	$0	−$45	−$1.81	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	105	53¢	0¢	$0	−$56	−$1.83	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	105	52.2¢	0¢	$0	−$55	−$1.83	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	104	47¢	0¢	$0	−$49	−$1.82	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	103	47.7¢	0¢	$0	−$49	−$1.79	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	100	43.5¢	0¢	$0	−$44	−$1.73	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	100	51¢	0¢	$0	−$51	−$1.75	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	100	48¢	0¢	$0	−$48	−$1.75	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	99	51¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$1.73	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	98	55¢	0¢	$0	−$54	−$1.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	97	47.9¢	0¢	$0	−$47	−$1.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	97	48¢	0¢	$0	−$47	−$1.70	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	97	48¢	0¢	$0	−$46	−$1.69	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	95	49¢	0¢	$0	−$46	−$1.66	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	94	37.5¢	0¢	$0	−$35	−$1.52	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	92	56¢	0¢	$0	−$52	−$1.59	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	91	46¢	0¢	$0	−$42	−$1.59	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	90	47.2¢	0¢	$0	−$43	−$1.57	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	90	46.8¢	0¢	$0	−$42	−$1.56	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	90	47¢	0¢	$0	−$42	−$1.56	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	90	48.2¢	0¢	$0	−$43	−$1.56	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	89	43.2¢	0¢	$0	−$39	−$1.54	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	89	44.6¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$1.54	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	89	48¢	0¢	$0	−$43	−$1.55	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	88	46¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$1.52	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	87	56.5¢	0¢	$0	−$49	−$1.50	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	87	46.1¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$1.51	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	87	48¢	0¢	$0	−$42	−$1.52	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	86	49¢	0¢	$0	−$42	−$1.51	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	86	53¢	0¢	$0	−$46	−$1.50	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	86	45¢	0¢	$0	−$39	−$1.49	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	85	48¢	0¢	$0	−$41	−$1.48	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	85	41¢	0¢	$0	−$35	−$1.43	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	84	49¢	0¢	$0	−$41	−$1.47	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	84	48.3¢	0¢	$0	−$41	−$1.47	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	84	41.7¢	0¢	$0	−$35	−$1.42	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	83	83¢	0¢	$0	−$69	−$0.82	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	82	48¢	0¢	$0	−$39	−$1.44	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	82	36.1¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$1.33	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	82	54.7¢	0¢	$0	−$45	−$0.71	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	82	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	82	48¢	0¢	$0	−$39	−$1.43	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	81	44.8¢	0¢	$0	−$36	−$1.41	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	81	48¢	0¢	$0	−$39	−$1.41	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	79	57¢	0¢	$0	−$45	−$1.36	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	78	47.1¢	0¢	$0	−$37	−$1.37	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	78	54.1¢	0¢	$0	−$42	−$1.35	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	77	48¢	0¢	$0	−$37	−$1.35	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	77	50¢	0¢	$0	−$38	−$1.34	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	77	41.8¢	0¢	$0	−$32	−$1.30	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	76	43¢	0¢	$0	−$33	−$1.31	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	76	53¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$1.33	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	76	48¢	0¢	$0	−$37	−$1.33	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
12m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	99¢	1,650	$1,633	98%	45
17m ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	98¢	722	$708	98%	45
26m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	99¢	1,640	$1,623	98%	45
36m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	99¢	1,634	$1,618	98%	45
40m ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	99¢	432	$428	98%	45
51m ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	99¢	1,270	$1,257	98%	45
56m ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	99¢	1,615	$1,599	98%	45
1h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	99¢	374	$370	98%	45
1h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	53¢	12	$6.34	98%	45
2h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	45¢	21	$9.45	98%	45
4h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	44¢	19	$8.22	98%	45
4h ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	98¢	517	$507	98%	45
5h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	99¢	938	$928	98%	45
6h ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	56¢	14	$7.67	98%	45
7h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	56¢	13	$7.16	98%	45
8h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	95.9¢	1,644	$1,578	98%	45
8h ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	99¢	500	$495	98%	45
8h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	44¢	15	$6.42	98%	45
9h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	99¢	628	$621	98%	45
9h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	99¢	1,269	$1,256	98%	45