sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #11,000

dsfd3

0x407…52fd
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+<30d oldOtherPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$60vol $45.4k
PnL 30d+$377gains $1,870 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$644win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 88.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$5,466cash n/a
Positions915 / 978open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.3%of equity peak
Account age28dlast trade 21d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$413below peak −$16Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d29
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Yes57076.8¢81.5¢$465+$27$0
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes58053.9¢66.5¢$386+$73$0
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes62039.7¢50.5¢$313+$67$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes26094.5¢96.4¢$251+$4.82$0
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes62038.5¢37.5¢$233−$6.09$0
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes58019.2¢20¢$116+$4.80$0
Will the season series between the Chiefs and Raiders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes19032.5¢57.2¢$109+$47$0
Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Yes57012.8¢18.2¢$103+$30$0
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes19057.7¢54¢$103−$6.95$0
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes32049.8¢30.5¢$98−$62$0
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Yes10581.4¢91.4¢$96+$11$0
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes32020.2¢29.5¢$94+$30$0
Will the Eagles win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes11055.1¢84.5¢$93+$32$0
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes32018.6¢24.5¢$78+$19$0
Will the season series between the Cowboys and Giants end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes11065.5¢66¢$73+$0.50$0
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Yes8570.6¢77.5¢$66+$5.83$0
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Yes9516.6¢67.9¢$64+$49$0
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes62013.7¢10.3¢$64−$21$0
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Yes6579.1¢90.3¢$59+$7.30$0
Will the season series between the Eagles and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes11038¢48.4¢$53+$12$0
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Yes10555¢50.6¢$53−$4.62$0
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Broncos during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes8048.1¢62¢$50+$11$0
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Yes10536.8¢45.5¢$48+$9.18$0
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Yes4560¢97.6¢$44+$17$0
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes58022.9¢7.5¢$44−$89$0
Will the Vikings win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes7737¢55¢$42+$14$0
Will the Giants win the season series against the Cowboys during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes11029.7¢38.5¢$42+$9.66$0
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Chargers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes8520.8¢48¢$41+$23$0
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes9535.5¢42¢$40+$6.15$0
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes5044.8¢78.5¢$39+$17$0
Will the season series between the Broncos and Chiefs end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes8046.8¢48¢$38+$0.97$0
Will the season series between the Chiefs and Chargers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes8547¢44.5¢$38−$2.12$0
Will the season series between the Packers and Vikings end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes8058¢43¢$34−$12$0
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes4060¢77.5¢$31+$7.00$0
Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes4054¢77¢$31+$9.20$0
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes3200.6¢8.9¢$28+$26$0
Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes7544.7¢36.5¢$27−$6.14$0
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Yes3027¢91¢$27+$19$0
Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Rams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes6523.5¢40.5¢$26+$11$0
Will the Rams win the season series against the Seahawks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes6530.2¢40¢$26+$6.35$0
Will the season series between the Ravens and Bengals end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes3548¢72.5¢$25+$8.56$0
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes9525¢26.5¢$25+$1.43$0
Will the season series between the Bengals and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes7539.6¢33.5¢$25−$4.57$0
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Yes9559.3¢25.9¢$25−$32$0
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?Yes2591¢98.1¢$25+$1.77$0
Will the Giants win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes5524¢44¢$24+$11$0
Will the Commanders win the season series against the Giants during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes5526.3¢43.5¢$24+$9.48$0
Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes4035.5¢59.5¢$24+$9.58$0
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes2582.6¢91.5¢$23+$2.23$0
Will the season series between the Rams and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes6539.6¢35¢$23−$3.00$0
Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes7516.1¢29.5¢$22+$10$0
Will the season series between the Raiders and Chargers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2543¢88.5¢$22+$11$0
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes3555.4¢61.4¢$21+$2.12$0
Will the season series between the Eagles and Giants end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes4037.4¢53.5¢$21+$6.45$0
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes3063¢70.5¢$21+$2.25$0
Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes7546¢25¢$19−$16$0
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes5530¢34¢$19+$2.20$0
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Yes3541¢52.5¢$18+$4.03$0
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes7521.5¢24¢$18+$1.88$0
Will the Eagles win the season series against the Giants during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes4039.4¢45¢$18+$2.25$0
Will the Ravens win the season series against the Steelers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes3039.2¢59.5¢$18+$6.10$0
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes9521.2¢17.8¢$17−$3.18$0
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes2040.2¢81.5¢$16+$8.25$0
Will the season series between the Bengals and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2043.5¢79.5¢$16+$7.20$0
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes2539.4¢62.5¢$16+$5.78$0
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Yes2561¢60.5¢$15−$0.12$0
Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes5514.7¢27.5¢$15+$6.99$0
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Yes3555.6¢42.5¢$15−$4.57$0
Will the season series between the Ravens and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2541.4¢57.5¢$14+$4.03$0
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes2562¢57.5¢$14−$1.13$0
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Yes2548.4¢57¢$14+$2.15$0
Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes2066¢71¢$14+$1.00$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes6035.2¢23.6¢$14−$6.96$0
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes2080.7¢68¢$14−$2.53$0
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes1563¢89¢$13+$3.90$0
Will the season series between the Bears and Lions end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2551.6¢52¢$13+$0.10$0
Will the season series between the Rams and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2548.6¢51¢$13+$0.60$0
Will the season series between the Browns and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2049.7¢62.5¢$13+$2.55$0
Will the Eagles win the season series against the Cowboys during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2535.8¢48¢$12+$3.05$0
Will the season series between the Broncos and Raiders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2037¢60¢$12+$4.60$0
Will the Chargers win the season series against the Chiefs during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes8526.8¢14¢$12−$11$0
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Yes1518.1¢76.1¢$11+$8.71$0
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes2537¢45¢$11+$2.00$0
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes2543¢44.5¢$11+$0.38$0
Will the Vikings win the season series against the Bears during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2018.5¢54.5¢$11+$7.20$0
Will the Giants win the season series against the Eagles during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes4016.8¢27¢$11+$4.04$0
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?Yes2546¢42.5¢$11−$0.87$0
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Yes2512.8¢42.5¢$11+$7.42$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes6011.6¢17.6¢$11+$3.62$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes609.7¢17.5¢$11+$4.68$0
Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2048.5¢52¢$10+$0.70$0
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Yes2552¢41.5¢$10−$2.63$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes6012.4¢17.2¢$10+$2.88$0
Will the season series between the Lions and Packers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2050¢50.5¢$10+$0.10$0
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes2057.2¢50.5¢$10−$1.35$0
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes9510.9¢10.5¢$9.97−$0.37$0
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Yes2017.3¢49.1¢$9.81+$6.36$0
Will the Browns win the season series against the Steelers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes205.4¢48.4¢$9.68+$8.60$0
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes2521¢37.5¢$9.38+$4.13$0
Will the Lions win the season series against the Bears during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2522.8¢37¢$9.25+$3.55$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesNo change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?40¢5$2.00100%49
BUY YesWill the season series between the Eagles and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?24¢5$1.20100%49
BUY YesWill the Eagles win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?72¢5$3.60100%49
BUY YesWill the Eagles win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?72¢5$3.60100%49
BUY YesWill the season series between the Eagles and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?24¢5$1.20100%49
BUY YesWill the season series between the Eagles and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?24¢5$1.20100%49
BUY YesWill the Eagles win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?72¢5$3.60100%49
BUY YesWill the Eagles win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?72¢5$3.60100%49
BUY YesWill the season series between the Eagles and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?24¢5$1.20100%49
BUY YesWill Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?3.8¢5$0.19100%49
BUY YesWill Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?37¢5$1.85100%49
BUY YesWill Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?11¢5$0.55100%49
BUY YesWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?19.6¢5$0.98100%49
BUY YesWill Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?25¢5$1.25100%49
BUY YesWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?19.6¢5$0.98100%49
BUY YesWill Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?25¢5$1.25100%49
BUY YesWill Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?3.8¢5$0.19100%49
BUY YesWill Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?11¢5$0.55100%49
BUY YesWill Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?37¢5$1.85100%49
BUY YesWill the Steelers win the season series against the Ravens during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?13¢5$0.65100%49