sharpside
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Traders/Rank #8,063

priorlab

0x409…fd58
PoliticsWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$484vol $17.7k
PnL 30d−$577gains $226 · losses $524
PnL 7d−$505win rate 7d 16.5%
Win rate42.3%adj 43.0% · 30d 37.4%
Open value$1,213cash n/a
Positions84 / 279open / all-time
Max drawdown−51.1%of equity peak
Account age38dlast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$472below peak −$511Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 42.3% · shrunk toward 50%8
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity49

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 48

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No20271.9¢72.5¢$146+$1.20$0
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No15988.2¢86.5¢$137−$2.73$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes15880¢79.7¢$126−$0.55$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes11888.4¢86.5¢$102−$2.27$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes9392¢92.5¢$86+$0.46$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No11071.2¢69.5¢$77−$1.87$0
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes4691¢91¢$42$0$0
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Yes4330¢79.5¢$34+$21$0
Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?No5010¢65¢$32+$27+$35
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?No3674.2¢75.5¢$27+$0.47$0
Will Ron Cannan win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?Yes3863¢71.5¢$27+$3.23$0
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No3338¢79.5¢$26+$14$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026?Yes11513¢19¢$22+$6.92$0
Will Gordon Zhang win the next Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes2763¢75.5¢$21+$3.43$0
Will Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes2669.2¢77¢$20+$2.08$0
Will Trump say "Mardi Gras" this week?Yes2852.7¢70¢$19+$4.76$0
Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Yes2676.6¢73.5¢$19−$0.79$0
Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Yes2089¢93.5¢$18+$0.88$0
Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes2061.4¢74.5¢$15+$2.65$0
Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?No2165¢71.5¢$15+$1.36$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Yes3539.2¢40.5¢$14+$0.46$0
Will George Harvie win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?No1865¢69¢$13+$0.73$0
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Yes1349¢9¢$12$0$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes1770.5¢69.5¢$11−$0.17−$5.29
Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes3720.6¢31.2¢$11+$3.87$0
Will Carolyn Hofbauer win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No1199¢96.7¢$11−$0.26$0
Will Trish Mandewo win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?No1196¢94.6¢$10−$0.15$0
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?No1092.4¢97.5¢$9.61+$0.50$0
Will Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?Yes6214.2¢15.5¢$9.57+$0.75$0
Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes1655¢56¢$9.10+$0.16$0
Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?Yes1165¢73¢$7.68+$0.84$0
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes995¢83.2¢$7.57−$1.08$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?No1839¢40¢$7.22+$0.18$0
Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Yes797.9¢93.5¢$6.99−$0.33$0
Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?No1149.8¢48.5¢$5.35−$0.14−$0.28
Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes2520¢20.5¢$5.18+$0.13$0
Will Stephanie Bowman win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes3014.1¢16.8¢$5.04+$0.81$0
Will Sandeep Somal win the 2026 Brampton mayoral election?No597.2¢97.5¢$4.88+$0.01$0
Will Andrew Rose win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No598¢97.3¢$4.87−$0.04$0
Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" this week?Yes1032.2¢45.5¢$4.76+$1.39−$0.17
Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Yes565¢86¢$4.30+$1.05$0
Will the Parti Québécois win by between 10 and 19 seats?No1110¢37.4¢$4.12+$3.02$0
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes960¢43.5¢$4.05−$1.54$0
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?No492.3¢95.3¢$3.75+$0.12$0
Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?No665¢62.5¢$3.44−$0.14$0
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?Yes1013¢31¢$3.22+$1.87$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 13?Yes18814.2¢1.3¢$2.35−$24$0
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No535¢41.9¢$2.28+$0.37$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Trump say "TSMC" or "Taiwan" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?71¢11$7.6042%37
BUY YesWill Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?47¢25$1242%37
SELL NoWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?69¢12$7.9842%37
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 14?7¢5$0.3542%37
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?69¢9$6.2442%37
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 14?6¢20$1.2042%37
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on October 14?1.8¢8$0.1542%37
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?5¢12$0.6042%37
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?5.3¢5$0.2742%37
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?6.1¢21$1.3042%37
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?5.7¢5$0.2942%37
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 14?44¢9$3.7442%37
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 14?44¢5$2.2042%37
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?68¢7$5.0742%37
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?58.4¢200$11742%37
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?69¢165$11442%37
SELL YesWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?73¢18$1342%37
SELL NoWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?73¢6$4.6142%37
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?61¢95$5842%37
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?80¢158$12742%37