sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

BlindAndDeaf

0x40a…133c
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,312vol $568k
PnL 30d−$852gains $456 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$126win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate89.3%adj 72.9% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$49.0kcash n/a
Positions33 / 61open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 1mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$6,774below peak −$1,004Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 89.3% · shrunk toward 50%82
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 33

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No9,01788.7¢91.5¢$8,250+$250$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No8,42195¢96.6¢$8,135+$135$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes11.9k39¢41.5¢$4,938+$298$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No7,19947.2¢55.4¢$3,988+$588$0
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?No3,57084.7¢90¢$3,213+$188$0
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No3,09093.9¢96.9¢$2,994+$94$0
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No2,25788.6¢96.2¢$2,170+$170$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No2,12594.1¢96.8¢$2,056+$56$0
Iran nuclear test before 2027?No2,10595¢96.3¢$2,026+$26$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No2,16169.4¢89¢$1,923+$423$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No2,10060¢81.5¢$1,711+$451$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No1,91278.4¢82¢$1,568+$68$0
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No1,43592.9¢96.6¢$1,386+$52$0
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?No1,27794¢96.5¢$1,232+$32$0
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?No1,07493.1¢96.7¢$1,039+$39$0
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?No67292.1¢97.6¢$656+$37$0
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?No61474.9¢97.2¢$597+$137$0
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No63594.5¢94¢$597−$3.26$0
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes34282.2¢92.9¢$318+$37$0
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes139k0.2¢0.1¢$139−$166+$15
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes77.3k0.3¢0.1¢$77−$155$0
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes27.5k0.7¢0.1¢$28−$152$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No23.5k45.9¢0¢$0−$10.8k$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No5,08558.9¢0¢$0−$2,994−$132
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes3,1219.6¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?Yes3,10013¢0¢$0−$403$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?No2,65518.8¢0¢$0−$500$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No2,01549.6¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?No1,11322.5¢0¢$0−$250$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown26937.2¢0¢$0−$100−$4.40
Will British or Norwegian Airways swap logos on Instagram?No2364.2¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.48
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 24?No17919.6¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will Trump say "Drone" during White House Correspondents Dinner?No4065¢0¢$0−$26−$0.36

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?95¢8,421$8,00089%31
BUY NoWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?95¢1,053$1,00089%31
BUY NoWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?94¢532$50089%31
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?39.6¢1,995$79189%31
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?75¢4,000$3,00089%31
SELL YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?98.7¢6,763$6,67589%31
BUY YesWill Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?13¢2,700$35189%31
BUY YesWill Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?13¢400$5289%31
BUY NoUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?49.6¢2,015$1,00089%31
BUY YesWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?0.3¢62.1k$18689%31
BUY YesWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?0.3¢15.2k$4689%31
BUY NoWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?47.2¢7,199$3,40089%31
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?18.8¢2,655$50089%31
BUY NoIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?85.9¢1,047$90089%31
BUY NoWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?22.5¢1,113$25089%31
BUY YesIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?85¢235$20089%31
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?61.6¢1,624$1,00089%31
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?58.3¢6,866$4,00089%31
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?66.5¢6,764$4,50089%31
BUY NoWill Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?86.3¢781$67489%31