sharpside
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foxy4

0x40c…a96d
OtherSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,587vol $428k
PnL 30d−$3,730gains $2,926 · losses $2,194
PnL 7d−$3,845win rate 7d 53.6%
Win rate54.1%adj 53.5% · 30d 54.1%
Open value$6,161cash n/a
Positions109 / 1,125open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 10m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 54.1% · shrunk toward 50%34
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 93

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Celtics1,73146.4¢72.5¢$1,255+$452$0
Trail Blazers vs. WarriorsTrail Blazers1,00054¢52.5¢$525−$15$0
Bucks vs. PacersPacers50271¢83.5¢$419+$63$0
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)Team WE51677¢77.5¢$400+$2.74$0
Timberwolves vs. BullsTimberwolves1,37547¢21.5¢$296−$351$0
Celtics vs. 76ersCeltics96731.1¢25¢$242−$59+$57
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE52139¢38.5¢$200−$2.60$0
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE50039¢38.5¢$193−$2.50$0
Valorant: Team Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO5) - VCT Champions PlayoffsTeam Vitality57635.9¢32.5¢$187−$19$0
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?No20390¢87.5¢$178−$5.08$0
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?No19989.6¢81.5¢$162−$16$0
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsTeam WE50032¢31.5¢$158−$2.50$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes20367¢55.5¢$113−$23$0
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers50050¢22.5¢$113−$138$0
Kings vs. SpursSpurs10083¢98.9¢$99+$16$0
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes20940¢38.5¢$81−$3.14$0
Will Mali win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group K?Yes13162¢60.5¢$79−$1.96$0
Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?No8683¢84.5¢$73+$1.29$0
Hornets vs. GrizzliesHornets40842.1¢17.5¢$71−$100−$2.41
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes20127¢27.4¢$55+$0.81$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No7175¢74.5¢$53−$0.36$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?No6976¢76¢$52$0$0
Raptors vs. PistonsPistons7677¢68¢$52−$6.87$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes10062.1¢44.7¢$45−$17$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?No6073¢69.5¢$42−$2.10$0
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers15251¢27.5¢$42−$36$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?No6185.5¢68.3¢$42−$10$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes30153¢13.5¢$41−$119$0
Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by March 31, 2027?Yes6464¢63¢$41−$0.64$0
Will Jayden Maiava be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?No4193¢92.5¢$38−$0.21$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?No9847¢38.5¢$38−$8.31$0
Jazz vs. SunsJazz9337¢37.5¢$35+$0.46−$3.50
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?No6155¢50.5¢$31−$2.76$0
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes9339.3¢33.4¢$31−$5.52$0
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons50048¢6¢$30−$210$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No5157.1¢54.2¢$27−$1.50$0
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons22552¢11.5¢$26−$91$0
Will Swiss Parliament pass the UBS capital law by June 30, 2027?No6254¢41.5¢$26−$7.71$0
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes2793¢92.5¢$25−$0.13$0
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31, 2026?Yes4374¢56¢$24−$7.66$0
Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31?No3972¢61¢$23−$4.24$0
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?No3284¢74¢$23−$3.17$0
Will RTX (RTX) Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales be above $8.5B?Yes2591¢90.5¢$22−$0.12$0
Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Yes6932¢31.5¢$22−$0.35$0
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Yes2880¢76¢$21−$1.12$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?No3281¢66¢$21−$4.80$0
Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under1,02147.5¢2¢$20−$464+$0.51
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?No6542¢29¢$19−$8.43$0
Will Corning (GLW) Q3 Optical Communications sales be above $2.4B?No2293¢79.5¢$18−$2.99$0
Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Yes5835¢27.5¢$16−$4.37$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 3%-6%?No2081¢79¢$16−$0.40$0
Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?Yes7531¢20¢$15−$8.25$0
Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Under99746¢1.5¢$15−$444+$0.11
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?No3453¢41.5¢$14−$3.90$0
Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes3468¢36.5¢$12−$11$0
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of November 2026?Yes6130¢19.5¢$12−$6.43$0
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2027?No3255¢36¢$12−$6.17$0
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?No1958¢59.5¢$12+$0.29$0
Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027?No26649¢4.3¢$11−$119$0
Will The Odyssey win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes2859¢38.5¢$11−$5.78$0
Will RTX (RTX) Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales be above $10B?Yes5917¢18.5¢$11+$0.88$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?Yes9316¢11.5¢$11−$4.19$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?No17636¢5.8¢$10−$53$0
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No3243¢31.5¢$10−$3.72$0
Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027?Yes2054¢49.5¢$9.90−$0.90$0
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes2842¢34.5¢$9.81−$2.13$0
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Yes12325¢6.5¢$8.02−$23$0
Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under50043¢1.6¢$7.75−$207$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?No2350¢33.5¢$7.74−$3.81$0
Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?No987¢86¢$7.74−$0.09$0
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes2441.1¢31.7¢$7.54−$2.24$0
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes5018.9¢14.8¢$7.45−$2.06$0
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.0M and 7.1M in September?Yes7225¢10¢$7.23−$11$0
Will Iowa be the closest Senate race in 2026?Yes4223.8¢16.4¢$6.93−$3.16$0
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin <30%?Yes4822¢12.5¢$6.05−$4.60$0
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?No2047¢26.5¢$5.30−$4.10$0
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?Yes3459¢15.5¢$5.20−$15$0
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?Yes2629¢18.5¢$4.76−$2.70$0
Will Daisy Edgar-Jones be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes598¢7.1¢$4.21−$0.53$0
Will Parker Posey be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes3618¢11.5¢$4.19−$2.37$0
Timberwolves vs. BullsBulls566¢78.5¢$3.62+$0.58$0
Will "Whalefall" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes4118¢8.5¢$3.52−$3.93$0
Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.95B?Yes3930¢9¢$3.48−$8.13$0
Will Abyss be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?No4350.2¢8¢$3.38−$18$0
Will GE Aerospace (GE) Q3 adjusted revenue be above $12.8B?No2227¢15.5¢$3.37−$2.50$0
Spread: Magic (-2.5)Heat25732¢1.3¢$3.34−$79$0
Will Emily Blunt be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes6015¢5.5¢$3.30−$5.71$0
Will AP call US House control by November 4, 11:59 PM?No2177¢14.5¢$3.07−$13$0
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q3 Analog revenue be above $5B?Yes2923¢10¢$2.92−$3.79$0
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes6123.8¢4¢$2.45−$12$0
Will Deft play for Nongshim RedForce in 2027?No10178¢2.2¢$2.22−$76$0
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $427,000 and $437,000 on December 31?Yes8413¢2¢$1.67−$9.19$0
Will Charles Melton be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes2110¢7¢$1.50−$0.64$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL JazzJazz vs. Suns37¢301$11154%49
SELL HornetsHornets vs. Grizzlies42¢177$7454%49
SELL HeatHeat vs. Magic38.1¢500$19154%49
SELL OGDota 2: OG vs LEGION (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs68¢62$4254%49
SELL Cloud9Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)64¢50$3254%49
SELL NoWill the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31?89.2¢1$0.5454%49
SELL NoWill another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?88.7¢1$0.8854%49
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 15?52¢1$0.5654%49
SELL NoWill OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?35¢3$1.0554%49
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 14?71¢1$0.4354%49
SELL YesWill GE Aerospace (GE) Q3 adjusted revenue be above $13.6B?38¢1$0.4754%49
SELL YesWill oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?13.3¢201$2754%49
SELL NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 65%-70%?87¢16$1454%49
SELL YesSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?57¢98$5654%49
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?1.8¢201$3.6354%49
SELL NoUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?0.8¢184$1.4854%49
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?1.9¢201$3.8354%49
SELL YesUS imports Russian diesel by October 31?36¢3$0.9854%49
SELL YesWill Bryan Mbeumo win the 2026-27 English Premier League Player of the Season award?1¢7$0.0754%49
SELL YesWill Bryan Mbeumo win the 2026-27 English Premier League Player of the Season award?1¢51$0.5154%49