sharpside
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XueqinJiang

0x413…ea5d
SharpPnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$34.1kvol $1.66M
PnL 30d+$34gains $212 · losses $369
PnL 7d−$61win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate77.7%adj 75.1% · 30d 44.4%
Open value$25.4kcash n/a
Positions19 / 212open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.1%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$36.1kbelow peak −$354Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

80/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 77.7% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d86
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 19

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?No8,74686.3¢97.2¢$8,501+$956$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No8,15085.3¢97.2¢$7,922+$968$0
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No2,84888.4¢97.3¢$2,771+$254$0
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?No1,59484.2¢86.5¢$1,379+$37$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?No1,21694¢93.7¢$1,139−$3.45+$0.99
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?No1,14794.2¢97.1¢$1,114+$33$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No9,79011.6¢11¢$1,077−$57$0
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?No77995¢98¢$763+$23$0
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes3,90111.3¢11.5¢$449+$8.30$0
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes1,43624.2¢10¢$144−$204$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?No13880.2¢65.5¢$90−$20−$2.47
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?No7492.1¢99.1¢$73+$5.14$0
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes70712¢3.9¢$27−$58$0
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?No5,3052¢0¢$0−$104−$5.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown9266¢0¢$0−$56$0
Will Natasha Howard have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Yes3210.4¢0¢$0−$1.32−$0.04
Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by September 30?Yes22545.6¢0¢$0−$103+$93
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No17379.6¢0¢$0−$138−$59
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026?Yes1033¢0¢$0−$3.08$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?12¢1,121$13578%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?12¢5,748$69078%80Sharp
SELL NoPakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?78¢112$8878%80Sharp
BUY YesWill Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?11¢2,760$30378%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?11¢4,042$44578%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Argentina win on 2026-10-06?2¢5,305$10478%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?90.7¢236$21478%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?90¢111$10078%80Sharp
SELL NoRussia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?87¢1,000$87078%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?89.8¢44$4078%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?92.1¢74$6878%80Sharp
BUY NoRussia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?84¢1,000$84078%80Sharp
SELL NoWill Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?55¢2$1.2278%80Sharp
BUY NoMohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?77.8¢133$10378%80Sharp
BUY NoMohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?85¢126$10778%80Sharp
SELL NoWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?66.4¢105$7078%80Sharp
SELL NoWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?67.8¢320$21778%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?95.3¢47$4578%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?96.9¢493$47878%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?95.8¢166$15978%80Sharp