sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
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supermegawin

0x413…0008
PoliticsSportOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$4,397vol $379k
PnL 30d−$0.67gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.07win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate25.0%adj 45.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,107cash n/a
Positions128 / 132open / all-time
Max drawdown−99.1%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 6mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$4,404below peak −$4,366Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

8/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 25.0% · shrunk toward 50%14
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity1

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No70242.2¢100¢$702+$406$0
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes48316¢100¢$483+$405$0
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies3545.4¢100¢$354+$335$0
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?Yes18728.2¢100¢$187+$134$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?Yes14131.4¢100¢$141+$97$0
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No12035.3¢100¢$120+$78$0
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No2719¢100¢$27+$22−$206
Will Trump visit China by April 30?No1232.5¢100¢$12+$8.41+$634
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?No1134.9¢100¢$11+$7.31−$212
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies911¢100¢$9.08+$8.08−$62
Will Solana reach $100 in March?No735¢100¢$6.66+$4.33−$145
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo518.6¢100¢$5.29+$4.30+$1.74
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No431.4¢100¢$4.46+$3.06−$11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No426.8¢100¢$4.32+$3.16+$142
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No429.6¢100¢$4.14+$2.92+$11
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes429¢100¢$3.83+$2.72−$31
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes422¢100¢$3.73+$2.91−$13
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No338¢100¢$3.16+$1.96+$31
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies325¢100¢$3.08+$2.31−$46
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?No313.6¢100¢$2.86+$2.47−$19
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies325¢100¢$2.82+$2.12−$50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No332¢100¢$2.78+$1.89+$2.31
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes238¢100¢$2.21+$1.37−$13
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes240.7¢100¢$1.67+$0.99−$7.64
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No338¢50¢$1.53+$0.37+$4.86
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?Yes216.4¢100¢$1.51+$1.26−$9.05
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes133¢100¢$1.39+$0.93−$4.25
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No249¢50¢$1.04+$0.02−$2.02
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No243.4¢50¢$1.02+$0.14−$25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No114.1¢100¢$1.00+$0.86+$17
Trump out as President before GTA VI?No248¢50¢$0.92+$0.04−$1.42
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No133.4¢50¢$0.65+$0.22−$2.53
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026Yes328¢17.5¢$0.60−$0.36−$12
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Yes2532.9¢0.7¢$0.16−$8.06$0
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil MedvedevCarlos Alcaraz100k0.1¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No13.6k2.8¢0¢$0−$384−$18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 16?Yes4,4352.3¢0¢$0−$102$0
Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,56222¢0¢$0−$344$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March?No57543.9¢0¢$0−$252−$374
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 16?No51117.1¢0¢$0−$87$0
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?No15913¢0¢$0−$21−$136
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?No15424.2¢0¢$0−$37−$58
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No1342.3¢0¢$0−$3.08−$172
Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No874.8¢0¢$0−$4.18−$577
Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes588.1¢0¢$0−$4.71−$403
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5Under554¢0¢$0−$2.21$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?No447¢0¢$0−$3.06−$92
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?Yes3314¢0¢$0−$4.63−$313
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?No3216.1¢0¢$0−$5.18−$405
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?No3116¢0¢$0−$4.98−$308
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No3017¢0¢$0−$5.09+$41
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No2811¢0¢$0−$3.08−$165
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No2410.2¢0¢$0−$2.42−$91
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes2433.7¢0¢$0−$7.97$0
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?Yes235.9¢0¢$0−$1.37−$96
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?No236¢0¢$0−$1.36+$366
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?Yes232.9¢0¢$0−$0.65−$22
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?Yes205¢0¢$0−$1.01−$39
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No1713¢0¢$0−$2.27−$347
Will Trump visit China by June 30?No1730.6¢0¢$0−$5.16−$186
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No1619¢0¢$0−$3.04−$61
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No128.3¢0¢$0−$1.03+$296
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes1229¢0¢$0−$3.33−$65
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Mavericks1134¢0¢$0−$3.61$0
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?No1030.5¢0¢$0−$3.19−$28
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No1020.7¢0¢$0−$2.15−$102
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No1018.4¢0¢$0−$1.91−$44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No1033¢0¢$0−$3.33−$182
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No912.3¢0¢$0−$1.14+$17
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No926.1¢0¢$0−$2.31−$16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No812.1¢0¢$0−$1.01−$35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes842¢0¢$0−$3.28−$102
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No839¢0¢$0−$2.96−$29
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?Yes714¢0¢$0−$1.02−$34
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No717¢0¢$0−$1.22−$172
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 222.5Under714¢0¢$0−$0.98−$56
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes630.3¢0¢$0−$1.94−$59
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5No554¢0¢$0−$2.70$0
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes523.2¢0¢$0−$1.12+$13
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?No55.9¢0¢$0−$0.28−$4.33
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?Yes42.6¢0¢$0−$0.11−$2.25
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No429.6¢0¢$0−$1.25+$15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No425.3¢0¢$0−$1.05+$6.62
Will Wales qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes425¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No423¢0¢$0−$0.85−$6.68
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No431¢0¢$0−$1.11−$3.19
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?No426¢0¢$0−$0.92−$17
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?Yes337.2¢0¢$0−$1.29−$30
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Yes313.2¢0¢$0−$0.45+$2.42
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes337¢0¢$0−$1.21−$11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No334¢0¢$0−$1.06+$37
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Yes327¢0¢$0−$0.82−$45
Will Solana reach $140 in March?Yes32.5¢0¢$0−$0.07−$3.83
Will Suriname qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes327.5¢0¢$0−$0.77−$28
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes353.8¢0¢$0−$1.48−$27
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes336.4¢0¢$0−$0.99−$7.48
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?Yes33.1¢0¢$0−$0.08−$1.97
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No330.1¢0¢$0−$0.78−$67
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No347.9¢0¢$0−$1.22−$6.03
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes247.7¢0¢$0−$1.14−$7.75

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?14.3¢822$11825%8
SELL NoWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?65.2¢369$24025%8
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?30¢319$9625%8
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?54¢202$10925%8
SELL NoTrump out as President before GTA VI?47¢142$6725%8
SELL NoWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?48¢202$9725%8
SELL NoWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?39.9¢258$10325%8
SELL NoWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?33¢231$7625%8
SELL NoIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?34¢334$11425%8
SELL NoIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?46.6¢291$13625%8
SELL NoTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?27¢391$10625%8
SELL NoWill Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?32.8¢334$11025%8
SELL YesWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?26.2¢427$11225%8
SELL YesWill Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?32.9¢212$7025%8
SELL NoWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election19¢472$9025%8
SELL NoWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?31¢80$2525%8
SELL YesWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 202623¢239$5525%8
SELL NoWill Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?20.6¢284$5925%8
SELL NoWill the Brooklyn Nets win more than 19.5 regular season games in 2025–26?22¢30$6.6025%8
SELL NoWill Solana dip to $80 in March?49.5¢148$7325%8