PnL all-time−$7.66vol $5,835
PnL 30d−$4.19gains $0 · losses $6.33
PnL 7d−$4.19win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate92.5%adj 78.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$8.50cash n/a
Positions3 / 43open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.6%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$5.51below peak −$6.41Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 92.5% · shrunk toward 50%96
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable54
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Noclosed−$6.11Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$4.10Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? · Yesopen−$1.00Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? · Yesclosed−$0.52Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yesclosed−$0.22
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 9 | 50¢ | 98.3¢ | $8.35 | +$4.10 | $0 | |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 9 | 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $0.15 | −$4.10 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | Yes | 475 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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