PnL all-time+$54vol $33.0k
PnL 30d+$45gains $160 · losses $48
PnL 7d−$20win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate67.0%adj 64.0% · 30d 83.3%
Open value$1,233cash n/a
Positions29 / 123open / all-time
Max drawdown−83.5%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$203below peak −$272Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale25
Adjusted win rateraw 67.0% · shrunk toward 50%60
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity17
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$145US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$98Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yesclosed+$95Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Noclosed+$89
Worst markets
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · Noclosed−$251US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Noclosed−$224Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30? · Noopen−$163Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026? · Yesclosed−$156Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$129
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 228 | 72¢ | 90.5¢ | $206 | +$42 | +$6.00 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 203 | 74¢ | 82.5¢ | $167 | +$17 | −$17 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 186 | 68¢ | 81.5¢ | $152 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 159 | 63¢ | 85.5¢ | $136 | +$36 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 185 | 62¢ | 61.5¢ | $114 | −$0.93 | $0 | |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 135 | 74¢ | 79.5¢ | $107 | +$7.43 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 123 | 81¢ | 80.5¢ | $99 | −$0.62 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 117 | 47¢ | 79.5¢ | $93 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 101 | 83.6¢ | 87.4¢ | $88 | +$3.84 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 106 | 62¢ | 57.5¢ | $61 | −$4.77 | $0 | |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | Yes | 122 | 34¢ | 7.5¢ | $9.16 | −$32 | $0 |
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