sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #7,726

predictooooooooor

0x41b…8f2b
WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$112vol $154k
PnL 30d+$12gains $55 · losses $0.89
PnL 7d−$4.61win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate74.5%adj 72.5% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$738cash n/a
Positions37 / 277open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 13d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$452below peak −$421Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale29
Adjusted win rateraw 74.5% · shrunk toward 50%81
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d55
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 37

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?No30178.9¢90¢$271+$33−$35
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?No25847.9¢89¢$230+$106$0
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?No18053.2¢79¢$142+$46−$1.59
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?No4163.2¢91.5¢$37+$12$0
Will Somalia have an Ebola case in 2026?No4540¢66.5¢$30+$12$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No3079.6¢77.9¢$23−$0.53$0
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes4527.4¢8.5¢$3.83−$8.48$0
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI303.5¢4.5¢$1.35+$0.30$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 June 8-14?Yes2,4750.2¢0¢$0−$3.72−$0.26
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14?Yes1,3711.1¢0¢$0−$15−$1.01
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?No1,24888.6¢0¢$0−$1,105−$5.03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 15?Yes1,1961¢0¢$0−$12−$0.82
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 15?Yes1,1221.3¢0¢$0−$15−$0.67
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Yes76076.1¢0¢$0−$578−$4.83
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15?Yes5616.3¢0¢$0−$35−$2.32
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes4023.1¢0¢$0−$13$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No35062.2¢0¢$0−$218+$6.84
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?No2009¢0¢$0−$18$0
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Yes2003.7¢0¢$0−$7.40$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes2006¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?Yes1751.3¢0¢$0−$2.23−$0.11
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?Yes1612.4¢0¢$0−$3.87−$0.19
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes1553.3¢0¢$0−$5.12$0
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?Yes14817.6¢0¢$0−$26−$0.89
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes14141.7¢0¢$0−$59+$53
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No10541.7¢0¢$0−$44+$11
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1001.2¢0¢$0−$1.20−$0.04
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No1003.5¢0¢$0−$3.50$0
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes1005¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Yes234¢0¢$0−$0.94$0
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?Yes2329.9¢0¢$0−$6.89+$54
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes204.2¢0¢$0−$0.84−$20
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2015.6¢0¢$0−$3.12−$0.11
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1044¢0¢$0−$4.40$0
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?No1043¢0¢$0−$4.30+$9.42
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?No834.1¢0¢$0−$2.58−$2.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 18?Yes53.3¢0¢$0−$0.17$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?96.8¢80$7775%49
BUY YesWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?27.4¢45$1275%49
BUY YesWill Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?24¢46$1175%49
BUY YesWill Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?24¢5$1.2075%49
BUY YesWill Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?15.6¢20$3.1275%49
BUY NoWill Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?93.9¢80$7575%49
BUY YesWill Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?1¢28$0.2875%49
BUY YesGrok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026?47¢225$10675%49
BUY NoWill Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?96¢50$4875%49
BUY NoWill Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?88.9¢100$8975%49
BUY NoWill the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?58¢7$4.0675%49
BUY NoWill Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?79¢85$6775%49
BUY NoWill Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?77¢172$13275%49
BUY NoHasan Piker arrested by June 30?98.8¢50$4975%49
BUY YesWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1.2¢100$1.2075%49
BUY NoWill Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?81¢157$12775%49
BUY NoWill Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?80¢6$4.8075%49
SELL YesWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?30¢186$5675%49
BUY NoWill Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?83¢200$16675%49
BUY YesUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?6¢200$1275%49