sharpside
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VortexTrading

0x41c…0df5
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,625vol $484k
PnL 30d+$552gains $1,238 · losses $686
PnL 7d−$353win rate 7d 90.6%
Win rate93.0%adj 91.3% · 30d 92.9%
Open value$50.4kcash n/a
Positions44 / 4,718open / all-time
Max drawdown−23.4%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 8m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,437below peak −$399Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

78/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 93.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity77

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 44

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No13.0k50¢51.6¢$6,702+$202$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes13.0k50¢48.4¢$6,299−$202$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No6,68083.4¢82.5¢$5,511−$63−$267
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No5,57793.8¢97.1¢$5,412+$182$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?No3,99398.3¢99¢$3,951+$26$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No3,50098.7¢99.1¢$3,466+$13$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No2,61492.6¢94.5¢$2,470+$49+$17
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No2,12096.2¢98.5¢$2,088+$48$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No2,08293.5¢93.5¢$1,947+$0.56+$3.24
Trump out as President before 2027?No1,50094.7¢96.3¢$1,444+$23+$4.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,55486.6¢90.5¢$1,406+$60−$14
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?No1,40995.9¢99¢$1,394+$43$0
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,31296¢99.2¢$1,301+$41$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo1,20091.6¢91.5¢$1,098−$1.00$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1,10091.2¢90.5¢$995−$8.24$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No85092.9¢97.4¢$828+$38$0
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No63092.1¢97.7¢$616+$35+$8.23
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No55094.4¢97.8¢$538+$18$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No38093.8¢96.6¢$367+$10$0
Will Solana dip to $30 in October?No30098.8¢99.9¢$300+$3.15$0
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes30097.8¢98.7¢$296+$2.55$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No20099.1¢100¢$200+$1.70−$36
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?No20097.9¢98.5¢$197+$1.10$0
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No20097.2¢97.4¢$195+$0.30−$11
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No20095¢95.5¢$191+$1.00$0
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?No16696.7¢98¢$163+$2.16−$0.14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No15091.3¢93.5¢$140+$3.25$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No14580¢84.5¢$123+$6.53+$0.45
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No10096.1¢100¢$100+$3.85$0
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?No10094.9¢98.9¢$99+$3.95$0
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No8092¢96.8¢$77+$3.84$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes6571.1¢96.1¢$62+$16$0
GTA VI released by October 31?No5099¢99.5¢$50+$0.23$0
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No5097.1¢100¢$50+$1.42$0
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?No5096¢99.9¢$50+$1.93−$0.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?No5086¢98.5¢$49+$6.22$0
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No5090¢97.5¢$49+$3.75$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No4588.3¢95.7¢$43+$3.29−$0.15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes5083¢81.5¢$41−$0.75$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No5073¢74.5¢$37+$0.75+$0.50
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No4082¢92¢$37+$4.00$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes742¢23.5¢$1.68−$1.32$0
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes865¢0.1¢$0−$5.00$0
US forces enter Iran by December 31?No1432¢0¢$0−$4.56−$12

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET99.9¢27$2793%78Sharp
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET99.9¢40$4093%78Sharp
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET99.9¢21$2193%78Sharp
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET99.9¢31$3193%78Sharp
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET99.9¢16$1693%78Sharp
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET99.9¢32$3293%78Sharp
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET99.9¢24$2493%78Sharp
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET99.9¢40$4093%78Sharp
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET99.9¢24$2493%78Sharp
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET99.9¢40$4093%78Sharp
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET99¢16$1693%78Sharp
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET99.9¢29$2993%78Sharp
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4AM ET99.9¢40$4093%78Sharp
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4AM ET99.5¢40$4093%78Sharp
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4AM ET99.5¢40$4093%78Sharp
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4AM ET99.5¢12$1293%78Sharp
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4AM ET99.4¢12$1293%78Sharp
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4AM ET99.4¢12$1293%78Sharp
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET99.9¢30$3093%78Sharp
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET99.9¢30$3093%78Sharp