PnL all-time+$438vol $181k
PnL 30d+$241gains $232 · losses $0.15
PnL 7d+$36win rate 7d 98.1%
Win rate98.6%adj 96.4% · 30d 98.0%
Open value$2,160cash n/a
Positions6 / 438open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.1%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 2h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$455below peak $0Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
81/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale38
Adjusted win rateraw 98.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 30? · Noclosed+$83Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 4? · Noclosed+$27Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 12? · Noclosed+$26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14? · Yesclosed+$13Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14? · Noclosed+$9.05
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23? · Noclosed−$2.74Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23? · Yesopen−$0.63Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 7? · Noclosed−$0.07Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 30? · Noclosed−$0.03Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25? · Noclosed−$0.03
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 11? | No | 777 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $777 | +$0.39 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 11? | No | 769 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $769 | +$0.59 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 11? | No | 394 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $394 | +$0.22 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 11? | No | 200 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $200 | +$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 11? | No | 21 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $21 | +$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23? | Yes | 200 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.60 | −$0.03 |
Recent trades
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